Tonight at 20:30 (Beijing Time) - US CPI data will tear apart market tranquility!
The smoke of this inflation battle has long spread: expected 2.8% vs previous value 2.7%, in that abyss of 0.1 percentage points lurks the ghost of tariff lag effects (3-5 months). At this moment, the Federal Reserve is on the rack - the dual pressure of a weak job market and stubbornly rising inflation is causing the policy scales to shake violently.
My late-night observation:
If the data explodes (>2.8%) → The tariff blade pierces the inflation line of defense, the fantasy of interest rate cuts turns to ashes. BTC may face precise targeting by shorts, leveraged longs stained with blood on the K-line;
If it hits precisely (=2.8%) → The inflation behemoth is temporarily tamed, but the real battlefield shifts to the fine print of the Federal Reserve's statement. Beware of those hawks wrapped in velvet, dovish signals need to be deciphered with cryptography;
If it unexpectedly plummets (<2.8%) → The engine of celebration will ignite the crypto world. Be prepared, a tsunami of liquidity will instantly drown thin sell walls!
Cold hard facts: Over the past three years, the average volatility of CPI at night for BTC has reached ±12%, tonight is destined for some to become rich and others to be liquidated.
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