Next Tuesday's CPI data is definitely the most critical market trigger in recent times.
Whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates depends entirely on the numbers—cooling inflation is a signal for a crypto market frenzy, while explosive data could lead to a bloodbath.
There are two scenarios you must know:
1. If the data is below expectations, small-cap high-beta assets like the SOL ecosystem and RWA will absolutely take off first, making you question your life choices.
2. If the data is in line with or above expectations, be prepared for a sharp drop, but remember not to be fooled by the robots' false moves in the first few minutes; the real direction often needs to wait for half an hour for the U.S. Treasury market to provide an answer.
The worst-case scenario is when the data is favorable but the dollar strengthens, indicating hidden bearish factors.
When encountering this kind of "logic is right but prices move contrary" scenario, don't be stubborn; cut losses when necessary. To become a true trading expert, you need to understand how to follow trends and know when to step back and observe.
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