Three Fundamental Laws of Underlying Cognition
Market Inefficiency = Opportunity
When Retail Investors Panic Sell (e.g., BTC ETF Approval in January 2024 followed by a Crash), Whale Addresses Increase Holdings to a 3-Month High
Counterintuitive Action: When Fear Index < 25, Automatically Trigger Investment Instructions
β Returns Are the Royal Road
Data Comparison (2020-2025):
Strategy Annualized Return Maximum Drawdown
BTC Investment 58% -45%
Contract Trading -72% -100%
2025 Recommendation: At Least 50% Position Allocation in BTC + ETH
Asymmetric Risk Game
Bet 2% Position for a Hundredfold Coin (e.g., 2024 ONDO)
Key: The Project Must Meet the '3-Year Survival Rate' (Only 12% of the Top 50 Market Cap Meet the Standard)
Four-Dimensional Profit Engine
1. Core Position β Engine (60%)
Smart Investment Strategy:
if Fear Index < 30:
Investment Amount = Base Amount × 1.5
elif Greed Index > 75:
Sell 10% of Holdings
2022-2025 Performance: $19k → $110k, Outperforming 98% of Hedge Funds
2. Macro Trend Enhancement (20%)
2025 Key Indicators:
Federal Reserve Rate < 3% → Increase Position in AI + DePIN Sector
M2 Money Supply Growth Rate > 5% → Position in MEME Coins
Tool: TradingView 'Macro Dashboard' Custom Indicator
3. Arbitrage Matrix (15%)
Three Major Risk-Free Yields:
CEX/DEX Price Spread Arbitrage (Annualized 12-18%)
Stablecoin Circular Lending (AAVE + Curve Combination)
Options Volatility Harvesting (Deribit Market Making Strategy)
4. α Hunting (5%)
Hundredfold Coin Screening Model:
Score = 0.3×(GitHub Commit Volume) + 0.2×(Institutional Holdings) + 0.5×(On-chain Activity)
2024 Hit Case: TAO (Score 87/100, 40x in 6 months)
2025 Risk Control System Upgrade
Smart Position Management
Dynamic Adjustment Formula:
Single Coin Cap = Total Capital × (1 - Volatility/100)
(BTC Volatility 25% → Maximum Position 75%)
On-chain Security Protocol
Weekly Automatic Wallet Authorization Check (Revoke.cash API)
Large Transfer 3-Signature Verification (Gnosis Safe)
Hardware Wallet + Mnemonic Steel Plate Backup
Black Swan Response Package
20% USDC + 5% PUT Options (Strike Price -30%)
Automatic Liquidation Trigger Line:
BTC Daily Drop 15% → Liquidate All Leverage
Stablecoin Depeg > 3% → Switch to DAI
Cognitive Upgrade Roadmap
Technical Compulsory Course
Zero-Knowledge Proof (ZK): zkSync, Starknet Development Documentation
Rollup Economics: Arbitrum's Fraud Proof Mechanism
MEV Protection: Using Flashbots RPC
On-chain Analysis Skills
Identify Whale Address Characteristics:
Fixed Time Batch Transfers
48 Hours On-chain Silence Before Exchange Recharge
Use Tornado Cash Historical Records
Cycle Survival Law
Bullish Signal:
Exchange BTC Balance < 2 Million Coins
USDT Market Cap Growth Rate Slows
Miners Daily Selling Pressure > 1000 BTC
2025 Practical Configuration Suggestions
Ultimate Profit Formula
Annualized 30%=
(β Returns × 50%) + (Arbitrage Returns × 20%) + (Trend Trading × 15%) + (α Returns × 5%) - (Friction Costs × 10%)
People Are More Important Than Anything! If You're Still Lost, Check Out @crypto Guang Ge to Help You Target Every Wave of the Bull Market