Ethereum's strong surge after the key level's defense and the double-top risk warning

Core strong characteristics and short-term target projection

Second coin continues to be strong, directly impacting the previous hourly high, with significant bullish momentum. The current focus is on:

• After stabilizing at $3909, look up to $3945→$4032, where the $4000 integer mark is a dual resistance in psychology and technicals. If it is difficult to break through in the short term, we need to wait for liquidity benefits such as interest rate cuts to drive it;

• Beware of forming a "double-top" around $3940 — if two attempts to reach a high fail, it may trigger a pullback, and we need to prepare to take profits in advance.

Key point trading strategies

• Conditions for going long:

1. Volume breakout above $3891→follow up on the right side, recover stop loss, target $3909;

2. Confirm support on a pullback to $3805→lightly position for a long, stop loss below $3778;

3. Stabilize above $3909→increase long positions, targeting $3945→$4032, with volume support needed to break through resistance;

4. Left side long position at $3737, stop loss below $3700 (deep pullback low absorption, requires strong foundation to remain intact).

• Conditions for going short:

1. Volume drop below $3877→follow up on the right side, maintain stop loss, target $3847→$3806;

2. Lightly position for a short at $3945, stop loss above $3969 (testing short at resistance, requires confirmation of weakness after highs);

3. 4-hour level drop below $3827→increase short positions, looking down to $3781→$3720, with increased pullback risk.

Logic of pressure and support defense

• Pressure zone of $3909-4032:

$3909 is the short-term strength line, $3969 is the prelude to impacting $4000, $4032 is the phased target, and every level of pressure needs volume verification;

• Support zone of $3806-3767:

$3806 is the bottom line for strong pullbacks, breaking below will bring it closer to $3767, and losing $3827 on the 4-hour level will amplify pullback space.

Summary: The second coin is strong in the short term but needs to guard against high pullbacks. The core of operations: follow up on long positions based on the breakout of $3891, closely watch the double-top risk at $3940 and the breakout at $4000, rely on the breakdown of $3877 for short positions, do not chase after rises during strength, and do not panic during pullbacks; rhythm is key.