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First purple line (1.6 Upper Bull High Line) is at 258K, leave your analysis....
$BTC
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📈 BITCOIN TERMINAL PRICE MODEL SHOWS MORE UPSIDE! 🚀 The Terminal Price model — a long-term on-chain valuation metric — continues to guide us toward Bitcoin’s deeper potential. 🔍 What is Terminal Price? It's derived from the "Transferred Price" metric — reflecting the cumulative value stored in Bitcoin. Historically, this line has acted as the upper limit of long-term value accumulation, and BTC has always trended toward it over macro cycles. 🧠 KEY INSIGHTS FROM THE CHART: ✅ BTC is still below the Terminal Price, which sits around $135K–$140K right now. ✅ Historically, price catches up to this level in each bull cycle. ✅ We're witnessing similar patterns to 2016–2017 and 2020–2021. ✅ This suggests we could still be in early-to-mid bull phase 📊 🔥 Bullish TA Takeaways: 🔹 Terminal Price = Final Boss of Each Bull Run BTC has tested this line in previous tops (2013, 2017, 2021). We're NOT there yet. 🧭 That leaves room for potential upside toward $135K+ 🔹 Trendline Still Rising The terminal line is slowly climbing, showing strong underlying value growth. This supports a narrative of steady adoption + accumulation. 📌 Conclusion: We're not at the top. We're not even close to the "terminal" velocity. BTC is still loading... ⏳ 💡 Keep an eye on the Terminal Price model. It’s not just a line — it’s the signal beyond the noise. *** Not a financial advice
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📉BTC Leaving Exchanges 📈USDT Piling Up — What’s Cooking? Let’s talk on-chain tension you shouldn’t ignore👇 — 🔹 Chart 1: BTC Exchange Balance 📉 Steady drop from ~2.65M BTC to near 2.4M As price climbs past $120K, supply on exchanges keeps draining This is classic accumulation behavior Investors are withdrawing BTC to self-custody → sign of long-term conviction — 🔹 Chart 2: USDT (ERC-20) Exchange Balance 📈 Massive rise since Jan — up from ~$12B to over $40B Stablecoins on exchanges = dry powder This shows liquidity is loaded and waiting Historically, such surges precede buying waves or bull run continuations — 🧠 What this means: BTC leaving = less sell pressure USDT rising = more buy power waiting to deploy A supply shock + stablecoin surplus = 🚀 potential for sharp upside moves — 🔥 Final Thought: "Exchanges are holding less BTC, but more ammo." The big guns are loading. Are you watching the right signals?
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📊 Bitcoin HODL Waves – Where Are We Really in the Cycle? This chart tells a powerful on-chain story that price alone can't. Here’s what stands out 🧵👇 — 🔸 1. Older Coins Are Dominating The bands representing 6m to 7y holding periods are thickening — especially the 1y–2y and 2y–3y layers. That means more BTC is sitting untouched in long-term wallets. These are not speculators — these are conviction holders. — 🔸 2. Young Coins Are Fading Notice how thin the 0d–3m bands have become. Fresh buyers and short-term traders are barely active right now. This often happens during early/mid phases of a bull market — when strong hands quietly accumulate. — 🔸 3. Price is Climbing WITH Supply Aging Unlike parabolic tops (where new buyers flood in), current price growth is happening while supply is aging. That's typically a bullish divergence — strong hands are in control. This dynamic reduces sell pressure. Supply is off the market. — 🔸 4. No Signs of Distribution Yet During major tops, we usually see long-term holders selling → young supply spikes. That’s NOT what’s happening here. Instead, we’re seeing the opposite: diamond hands growing stronger 💎🙌 — 🧠 What it means: This is not a hype-driven rally. It’s foundation building — silent but powerful. If this trend continues, a deeper phase of the bull run could be next.
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