Good morning, today let's talk about our views on interest rate cuts.
The probability of a rate cut in September is very high.
Trump is applying pressure, there are differing opinions within the Federal Reserve, and both the market and retail investors are anticipating it. Once the rate cut is implemented, the floodgates will open for funds, the US stock market will surge, and BTC is very likely to skyrocket;
But if there is no cut, things will get interesting, as the market structure may be completely shattered, and everyone will have to share a pot.
From the current trend, $BTC has gone through adjustments, and the bearish force is weakening while the bullish force is building up. The daily MACD is about to cross bullishly, indicating that a new round of increases may begin.
Currently, it is not advisable to short, especially for spot players; the recent advice to buy the dip should be maintained.
On the contract side, it is generally difficult for ordinary people to hold on; breaking even is already a victory. For those who haven't entered, a pullback remains an opportunity.
Some are calling for 150,000, while others see 90,000. I tend to stand on the "opposite side of history," but recently I am leaning bullish. I am the contrarian, so you see—your freedom or lack thereof depends on whether I go long or short.
