The bigger one is coming, the last opportunity to board in August, will ETH rise by a thousand points in September?
Recently, $ETH has been affected by fluctuations in the US stock market and macro factors such as tariffs, leading to short-term adjustments, but after mid-August, it is expected that with the anticipation of interest rate cuts in September, a new round of market activity will inevitably begin.
There are several key points in the current market worth paying attention to. From the perspective of interest rate cut expectations, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in September has reached 89.1%. The Trump administration is also pushing for faster rate cuts, which provides a favorable environment for risk assets.
Historical data also shows that although August is a traditional volatile month for ETH, the average increase during bull market years is significant, and the current technical indicators also support a mid-term rise.
Stablecoins and institutional behavior are another major support. The formal legislation of the "GENIUS Act" requires stablecoins to be backed by US Treasury bonds or US dollars, which not only regulates the market but also reinforces the dollar's hegemony through demand for US Treasuries, indirectly benefiting mainstream assets like ETH. At the same time, institutions like Grayscale continue to increase their holdings of ETH, with over 36 million ETH staked in the Beacon Chain contract, indicating that long-term capital is still in position.
Short-term adjustments are more of an institutional washout strategy. On-chain data shows that although whales are selling off, overall large transactions and changes in holdings indicate that institutions are accumulating at lower levels. Coupled with a surge in short liquidations and reduced inflows to exchanges, this suggests that after the release of short pressure, a rebound may be triggered.
All pullbacks are buying windows; don’t be misled by short-term exit operations. The bullish trend remains unchanged, and the long-term bullish logic is solid. The expectations of interest rate cuts, the regulatory framework for stablecoins, and institutional accumulation constitute a triple support, making it hard for ETH not to rise.
The bullish trend is undoubtedly clear, and the upcoming bottom-fishing strategy will be publicly shared by Sister Rong; you are welcome to witness it.
