In the trading market, there is a painful reality: 80% of people are trapped in the vicious cycle of 'small profits - large losses - small profits - large losses'. Despite learning many techniques and watching a lot of valuable content, their accounts keep shrinking.
This is not due to bad luck, nor is it a lack of talent, but because you have fallen into several invisible 'loss loops' without realizing it.
Turning trading into a 'prediction game' rather than a probability game.
90% of losers have an obsession: they must accurately predict price movements.
They stare at candlestick charts looking for 'sure-win signals', learn about golden crosses to buy, death crosses to sell, and chase the central points of the fractal theory and wave theory, always thinking that once they find the 'holy grail', they can guess correctly every time.
But the essence of the market is uncertainty; even the most perfect technical signals can be instantly overturned by sudden news or major sell-offs.
This 'prediction dependency' creates a fatal loop: after correctly predicting twice in a row, they feel they have grasped the truth and start to heavily invest; once they make a mistake, they doubt the technique, immediately changing their method; the new method makes a profit, leading to overconfidence until the next major loss brings them back to reality. It's like a gambler always believing 'I'll definitely win the next round', yet failing to see that each bet exposes them to uncontrollable risks.
Real trading is not about guessing price movements, but about identifying high-probability opportunities to place bets, acknowledging mistakes and exiting when wrong, and accumulating profits through probability advantages.
Emotions dominate decision-making, falling into the 'behavioral inertia trap'.
Human weaknesses are infinitely amplified in trading, forming a difficult-to-break behavioral loop: when profitable, they fear profit reversal, hurriedly taking small profits and missing out on major trends; when losing, they are unwilling to admit defeat, clinging to the illusion of 'it will always rebound', stubbornly holding on, turning small losses into large ones; after a major loss, their mindset collapses, either betting heavily out of spite to recover losses or completely losing the courage to place orders, missing the opportunity to break even.
This 'small gains and large losses' model essentially replaces rules with emotions. It's like driving without looking at navigation and relying on intuition to turn at forks; sooner or later, you will crash.
Statistics show: ordinary traders hold profitable trades for an average of 3 days, while losing trades are held for an average of 15 days. This behavioral inertia directly leads to 'working hard for three months, only to lose it all in one go'.
Fragmented learning, lacking a 'complete profit system'.
Many people learn trading like a bear trying to pick corn: learning moving averages today, practicing MACD tomorrow, and chasing hot concepts the day after. It seems they understand many techniques, but they have not formed a complete 'operating system' - they don't know which signals to enter, under what circumstances to stop loss, how to allocate positions, and how to set take profits.
This 'fragmented knowledge' can lead to chaotic decision-making: seeing a golden cross and wanting to buy, but then hesitating because KDJ is overbought; finally entering the market, but unwilling to stop loss when it breaks the support level, comforting themselves that 'the main funds are washing the plate'; finally unable to bear the loss and cutting their position, and the market immediately reverses.
A lack of systematic techniques is like a body without a skeleton; it seems strong but is actually vulnerable. A truly profitable system must include four key modules: 'signal filtering, position management, stop loss and take profit, and risk control', interlinked to withstand market fluctuations.
Ignoring 'risk compounding', a single large loss can destroy all efforts.

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