The news is the printing machine of the crypto world! Do you only know how to stare at K-lines and draw charts? The big guys have long smelled the policy signals and made profits! Last night's violent rise of ETH from 3570 to 3730 was a super red envelope for 'news believers'!
I am Shen Ce, an old hunter who has mixed in the crypto world for 8 years relying on 'policy sensitivity'. Last night's market movement seemed like a technical breakthrough, but it was actually driven by 'underlying news'. Listen to me break down the three core logic points, and you too can ambush the next wave in advance!
1. The US stock market opened high as the 'starting gun', and ETH was pushed like a rocket by big funds!
Last night at 9:30, the US Dow and Nasdaq opened high at 1.2%, instantly raising the risk appetite of big funds! ETH, this 'volatility monster' (high Beta asset), was immediately targeted—3570 key level? It was directly swept away by the cash flow!
Shen Ce's Viewpoint: When the overall environment warms up, the main force will not give you the chance to 'slowly get on the bus'! Just like the US stock rebound last October, ETH rose 40% in two weeks; by the time retail investors reacted, they couldn’t even see the tail lights. Remember: In a bull market, 'hesitation leads to defeat' is an iron law!
2. Trump's 'tariff big stick' is stirring the pot again, safe-haven funds are flooding into the crypto market!
In the middle of the night, Trump suddenly announced: 'Tariffs on Indian goods will be increased by 50%!'. As soon as this old guy speaks, the global market collectively quickens its heartbeat—risk aversion + supply chain worries, where will hot money run?
Bitcoin and ETH, like 'digital gold', have become temporary safe havens. 3660 resistance level? Broken in seconds!
Shen Ce Case: Last August, Trump threatened to impose tariffs on China, and BTC surged 12% in one day, with ETH rising 15%.History has repeatedly proven: Geopolitical black swans are the 'money-giving market' for the crypto world!
Key Reminder: Don't chase high in this kind of market! Wait for the news to land, as funds will quickly withdraw,and the pullback is the real opportunity(like today).
3. Fed's Daly 'doves' it, interest rate cut expectations are fully priced in!
At 4 AM, San Francisco Fed President Daly dropped a heavy bomb: 'Interest rate cuts are imminent, possibly more than twice!' What does this statement weigh?
Federal Reserve officials personally endorse it, and the market instantly prices in 'September must cut rates'!
With expectations for the US dollar weakening and liquidity flooding, risk assets like ETH are pushed directly to 3730!
Core Logic of Shen Ce: Trading coins, especially mainstream coins,must closely watch the words of the Federal Reserve! When they cough, the crypto market catches a cold; when they sneeze, the crypto market runs a high fever!
Data Evidence: In March 2020, the Federal Reserve announced unlimited QE, BTC skyrocketed from $5000 to $60,000, and ETH rose 20 times!During the interest rate cut cycle, digital currency is the main dish of the 'liquidity feast'!
Today's exclusive prediction: There must be a 'golden pit' before 3800, and the pullback is just picking up passengers!
Currently, ETH is hovering around 3700, and many people are in a dilemma: chase? Afraid of being trapped; not chasing? Afraid of missing out.
Shen Ce decides: There must be a pullback today, but this is an opportunity to 're-enter' and aim for 3800!
Why?
Short-term surge too strong: nearly 200 points in 12 hours, the technical aspect is severely overbought, profit-taking will hit the market, and the big players will wash the positions.
Key Resistance Level: 3800 is a dual resistance of psychological + technical, the main force needs to accumulate strength to break through.
"Buy the expectation, sell the fact" strategy: The expectation of interest rate cuts is the current driving force for the rise, but when it actually happens (for example in September), it may turn from a positive to a negative. We are still in the "buy expectation" phase, and a pullback is just picking up passengers!
Shen Ce Case: Last night, based on the signals of 'US stocks opening high + Trump stirring trouble', I placed long orders at the 3570 breakout level and the 3660 pullback level in advance. Although I didn't capture the full rise, I secured two waves of profits. Trading coins is not gambling; it’s about identifying signals, timing positions, and letting probabilities work for you!
"3800 is just the starting point! Once the interest rate cut cycle is confirmed, ETH's target is $5000! But the key is—can you avoid today's 'golden pit' washout and accurately buy the dip?" Still fighting alone? Still worrying about when to enter? Follow Shen Ce!