The probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September soars to 89.1%
Market Overview
• CME's FedWatch shows a 89.1% probability of a rate cut in September
• Driven by weak employment data: Unemployment rate rises to 4.3%
• ETH breaks through the $3,500 resistance level, with a 24-hour increase of 3.04%
• Market leverage increases: Open contracts rise by 23% in 72 hours
Key Investment Catalysts
• Historical Pattern: Cryptocurrency market cap grew by 137% within 3 months after the 2020 rate cut
• Institutional Positioning: Major institutions on Wall Street accumulate over 150,000 BTC through spot ETFs
• Funds shifting from low-yield dollar assets to high-risk investments
• Attention to important data: CPI (September 10) and NFP (September 6)
Strategic Opportunities
• Focus on BTC/ETH as core assets for inflation hedging
• Consider high-volatility assets like Solana/Cardano that offer staking rewards
• Monitor whale activity patterns and apply dynamic hedging to manage $360 million liquidation risk
• Look for arbitrage opportunities between lending rates and staking rewards
