When I stare at the 40 million figure in my account, I always think of that rainy night in 2019 — holding the last 200,000 transfer receipt, my wife threw my trading notebook on the ground, and the voice saying 'If you touch the crypto world again, don't come back to this house' still echoes in the hallway.
In three years, I lost my 1 million savings to just 200,000, and there were three times I felt the urge to jump off the balcony. At that time, I always thought the crypto world was an elevator to wealth freedom, but unexpectedly, it turned out to be a slide straight into the abyss.
From shattered illusions to stubbornly sticking to MACD: I finally learned to 'walk' in the crypto world.
When I first entered the circle, I was like a mad gambler. When someone in the group said a coin would rise, I would go all-in overnight; if the K-line chart looked like it 'was about to take off', I would even take out a loan to increase my position. At my craziest, I even believed in the ghost stories of 'big players dreaming me' and lost 400,000 on a scam coin. That day, I stood in front of the ATM unable to withdraw cash, only to find that my bank card had long been frozen.
Until my account only had 200,000 left, I squatted by the river and cried all night. That night, I told myself: 'If I lose everything again this time, I will completely roll out of the crypto world.'
It was also from that day on that I deleted all the trading groups, cleared out all the 'wealth passwords' from my phone, and began to tough it out with trading systems. I flipped through dozens of technical analysis books, tried hundreds of indicators, and finally chose the most 'basic' MACD — not because it was cool, but because in my most desperate time, it was the only one that acted like a veteran and provided the most practical signals.
Why MACD? These five values saved my life.
Many people think MACD is too basic and have long thrown it into the trash. But for me, it is the lifeline I climbed back from hell with.
1. Stability verified by time: it has seen more market conditions than you have eaten salt.
MACD is not something some 'master' thought up on a whim, but a trend tool verified through decades and countless bull and bear markets. During the crash on March 12, 2020, all indicators were jumping around, but only MACD's weekly death cross lit up the red light early — that time, I avoided a 40% drop thanks to it.
2. The weapon for profiting from the trend: the golden and death crosses hide the secret to doubling your money.
It took me two years to understand: the core of MACD is not 'prediction', but 'following'. When the golden cross appears, it means the trend is upward, just follow and buy; when the death cross appears, the trend weakens, time to run. During the rise of ETH from 2000 to 4000 in 2021, I held on through the daily golden cross signals and earned 1.2 million from a single coin.
3. Divergence to identify tops and bottoms: it helped me avoid 80% of the crashes.
This is the most ruthless trick of MACD. When the price hits a new high but MACD does not (top divergence), it is a sign of a sharp decline; when the price hits a new low but MACD does not (bottom divergence), it means a rebound is coming. When BTC fell to 16,000 in 2022, a weekly bottom divergence appeared, and I built positions in three batches. Later it rose to 40,000, and I made back 800,000 that I had lost before.
4. The necessary path from novice to expert: simplicity is the ultimate.
When I first learned trading, I always thought MACD was too simple and pursued various 'sophisticated indicators'. After losing everything, I realized: mastering simple things to the extreme makes you an expert. Now, when I watch the market, I only need one MACD line — buy on the golden cross, sell on the death cross, escape the top and buy at the bottom; it works better than any complex model.
5. The underlying logic that quantitative institutions all use: the gap between professionals and retail investors is here.
Later, after meeting friends who did quantitative trading, I learned that the core of many large funds' strategies is actually a variant of MACD. They don't call out trades; they quietly follow the trend — this is the difference between professionals and retail investors: retail investors chase hot spots, while institutions trust trends; retail investors rely on feelings, while institutions rely on systems.
From 200,000 to 40 million: nine years of cultivation, not about skills, but about the human heart.
Many people ask me: 'Is MACD really that magical?' In fact, the indicator itself is not important; what matters is whether you can stick to the discipline.
The iron rules I have summarized over the years:
Daily golden cross + above the zero axis = go in heavily (the trend is the most stable).
When a top divergence appears, sell half first (don't be greedy for the last profit).
Bottom divergence + increased volume = trial position signal (buy in batches, don't go all-in).
When a death cross appears, reduce positions regardless of profit or loss (don't wait for a rebound).
In 2023, SOL fell from 100 dollars to 50 dollars, a daily bottom divergence appeared, I followed the rules to try a 20% position, adding 10% for every 10% drop, and finally averaged my cost to 65 dollars, taking profit when it rose to 120 dollars, earning 8 million in this wave. This is not the magic of MACD; it is that I finally learned 'not to be greedy, not to panic, and not to wait'.
The last thing I want to say: redemption in the crypto world has never been about getting rich quickly.
From losing 800,000 to a net worth of 40 million, my greatest gain is not money, but the understanding that the crypto world is not a casino, but a place for cultivation.
You may not need MACD, but you must have your own 'North Star' — a stable system, unyielding discipline, and respect for the market.
If you are also stuck in losses right now, why not try my method: turn off all complex indicators, keep only MACD, and for three months, only trade on golden crosses to buy and death crosses to sell.
Remember: those who can survive in the crypto world are not the smartest people, but those who can stick to themselves.
I have proven over nine years: even if there is only 200,000 left, as long as the method is right and the discipline is kept, you can still rise again. You can too.