🚨Structure: BOS & CHoCH

* 🔷Change of Character (CHoCH): Look for a clean break above the recent short-term swing high (prior lower high) as the first sign of bulls reclaiming control. That validates a transition from bearish pressure to bullish structure.

* 🔷Break of Structure (BOS): A higher high above the last significant resistance (~$17.73 area) would confirm a bullish BOS and open the path toward the $20 extension.

🚨Demand Zone & Order Flow

* 📈Key Support / Demand: ~$15.40 is the critical pivot. Price retracing into this zone aligns with institutional order blocks—expect absorption if the zone was previously marked by strong bullish candles (bullish order block).

* 🔷Order Block (OB): Identify the last bearish-to-bullish turning point before the rally that created the demand zone; a bullish order block here should show a cluster of wick rejection + volume increase. A clean retest with rejection (wick, spike in buy volume) is ideal for entries.

❇️Fair Value Gap (FVG)

* 🔷Look for any unfilled FVG above the current price from the earlier impulse leg toward $17.73. Price often gravitates to fill these gaps; a break above the first target with FVG “backfill” can act as both fuel and a secondary confirmation for continuation to $20.

🚨Indicators (Confirmation Layer)

* 🟢50/200 EMA ribbon: Bullish if price is above both and the 50EMA is curling up toward the 200EMA (or already in a golden-cross posture).

* ♦️RSI: Look for bullish divergence on the retest of $15.40 or a bounce from oversold/neutral zone, confirming momentum shift.

* ⭕️MACD: Bullish signal when MACD line crosses above signal line, especially if it happens near the demand zone retest

* 🟢Volume: Entry confidence increases if the bounce from $15.40 comes with a volume spike (buy-side absorption) and the breakout past $17.73 has expanding volume.

🎯 Trade Setup

❇️Bias: Bullish while $15.40 demand zone holds and structure remains intact.❇️

✅Entry Options:

* Primary (confirmation): Long on bullish price action rejection at $15.40 (e.g., engulfing candle, pin bar, or bullish order block confirmation) with a tight trigger.

⛔️Invalidation (Stop Loss):

* Below the close of the demand zone—ideal SL around $15.00–$14.80 (just under order block / liquidity sweep buffer). A clean daily close below the order block invalidates the bullish thesis.

🎯Targets:

* TP1: $17.73 (first structural resistance / BOS level)

* TP2: $19.30–$20.00 (extension zone, psychological area, possible FVG fill or prior macro liquidity cluster)

🚨Risk/Reward:

* Entry ~15.50, SL ~14.80 → risk ≈ 0.70 cents.

* Reward to TP1 ≈ 2.23 cents (3:1), to TP2 ≈ 4.50+ cents (6+:1) — favorable skew if validated.

🛡️ Trade Management📊

* Trail stop to breakeven once TP1 is taken and price reclaims $17.73 as new support.

* Partial profit-taking at TP1, hold remainder for run to $20.

* Watch for false breakouts: if price breaks $17.73 but closes back below with low follow-through volume, be ready to reduce position or re-evaluate.


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