Rolling positions have truly become synonymous with 'a thought leads to heaven, a thought leads to hell' in the cryptocurrency world.
Saying it 'supports the bold' is because in a one-sided trend, it acts like an amplifier — capturing a wave of upward trends, continuously adding positions with floating profits, the leverage effect will make profits grow like a snowball. Just like the trend in 2018, some people used 5x leverage + laddering positions while Bitcoin rose from 6000 to 20,000 dollars, flipping their principal dozens or even hundreds of times, indeed a 'single trend determines the universe'. At such times, 'boldness' is reflected in daring to place heavy bets after the trend is confirmed, and daring to let profits run, rather than taking a small profit and running away.
But more people have 'cooled off', and the problem lies precisely in the misreading of 'boldness'. Being bold doesn’t mean just adding leverage, but having the courage to 'admit defeat' when wrong — most people die in the rolling positions due to three pitfalls: either holding on hard during choppy markets, betting on the trend with leverage, and getting cut back and forth; or being unwilling to add positions when profitable, but wildly averaging down when losing (adding positions against the trend is like suicide); the most fatal mistake is not having a stop loss, leading to liquidation during a wave of pullback, wiping out all previous profits.
So the truth about rolling positions is: it’s not 'gambling on being bold', but 'gambling on the boldness of understanding the rules'. The trend is a prerequisite, leverage is a tool, and stop loss is the bottom line; without any of these three, even being bold is just sending yourself to death. Those who truly succeed through rolling positions are the ones who hide their 'boldness' within discipline — daring to add positions when they should (when the trend is there), and daring to cut positions when they should (when the trend breaks), this is the core of rolling positions.
1. Startup phase (500U→2000U): Technical model of '10% position + 10x leverage' for newly launched coins.
Core technical logic: The 'volume-price breakout' within 30 minutes after a new coin is launched is the best trial-and-error window, during which volatility is highest but trend signals are clearest.
Entry anchor point:
Volume indicators: In the first 30 minutes of HTX/Binance new coin launch, trading volume exceeds 5 million USDT, and the volume ratio (current volume / average volume over the past 24 hours) ≥ 3.5;
Price signal: K-line stabilizes above 1.05 times the opening price, and the 5-minute EMA12 crosses above EMA26 forming a golden cross;
Leverage parameters: Open 10x leverage with 10% of the principal (50U), corresponding to a position of 500U (satisfying the formula 'single risk = 50U × 10% stop loss = 5U').
Case analysis: In August 2025, HTX launched BOT, with a trading volume of 8 million USDT in the first 30 minutes, a volume ratio of 4.2, and a 5-minute EMA golden cross formed. After entering according to the model, the price broke through 30% within 3 hours (triggering a 20% target), profiting 100U, total funds rising to 600U. This was repeated 8 times (each time meeting the volume-price breakout conditions), and the funds rolled to 2100U.
Technical risk control: Use ATR (14) indicator to set stop loss — when the price falls below 'entry price - 1.2 times ATR', immediately close the position, strictly locking a single loss within 1% of the principal (5U). 2. Explosive phase (2000U→10,000 U): Whale hotspots '20% position + 5x leverage' tracking system core technical logic: When whale fund flows resonate with the overall trend, the probability of hot coins exploding increases by 3 times (based on backtesting of DeFi hotspots in 2024), requiring on-chain data + moving average systems to lock in additional purchase timing.
Entry anchor point:
On-chain signals: Whale addresses (holdings > 100,000 U) increase their target currency (e.g., FLX) by more than 5 million pieces within 24 hours, and the net outflow from the exchange is ≥ 2 million U (indicating concentrated chips);
Market calibration: BTC stabilizes above 68,000 U (daily EMA50 support level), and the ETH/BTC exchange rate is above 0.065 (enhanced altcoin correlation);
Leverage parameters: Open 5x leverage with 20% of the principal (400U), corresponding to a position of 2000U (stop loss 5% = 20U, satisfying 'single risk ≤ principal 1%').
Case analysis: In September 2025, DeFi2.0 leader FLX was launched, on-chain data showed that 3 whale addresses collectively increased their holdings by 12 million pieces, and HTX's net inflow reached 30 million U. After entering according to the model, the price rose 40% within 3 days (far exceeding the 15% target), profiting 1600U, total funds rolled to 3700U.
Technical risk control: After a profit of 10%, immediately move the stop loss line to the cost price (using 5-minute EMA12 as a dynamic tracking line), ensuring 'profit expands when you earn, and break even when you are wrong'. 3. Ultimate phase (10,000 U→50,000 U): 'Black Swan defense' technical scheme core technical logic: After the capital exceeds 10,000 U, it is necessary to use 'spot hedging + ladder positions' to reduce volatility impact, achieving the probability advantage of 'small losses and large gains' through position disassembly.
Operational technical details:
Hedging anchor: 30% profit (3000U) to buy BTC spot (select Binance's 'cross-currency margin mode', using BTC as the margin for all positions, reducing the risk of liquidation);
Laddering positions: 7000U split into 7 orders (each order 1000U), corresponding to ETH perpetual contracts 2x leverage (each order position 2000U), anchoring different support levels —
Orders 1-3: Place orders at ETH daily EMA50 (e.g., 2200U);
Orders 4-7: Place orders at EMA120 (e.g., 2000U);
Take profit and stop loss: Set a fixed stop loss of 3% for each order (e.g., entering at 2200U, stop loss at 2134U), and a 5% take profit (2310U), through the probability model of '4 profitable orders out of 7 orders means overall exceeding 20,000 U' (a win rate of 57% is enough for positive returns).
Technical circuit breaker mechanism: When the account net value falls below 'the highest point in the last 20 days × 0.85' (i.e., a 15% drawdown), immediately close 60% of the position; only when the net value rises to 'the pre-circuit breaker high point × 1.2' (20% profit protection line) will ladder positions be restarted. Three major technical iron rules (determine whether you can survive to 50,000 U).
Position mathematical formula: Single opening margin ≤ principal × 10%, and (total assets / used margin) ≥ 150% (the distance from the liquidation line to the current price ≥ 3% volatility space), reducing the risk of going to zero to below 0.5%;
Trend filtering criteria: Only take action when BTC daily EMA12/26/50 shows a bullish arrangement (backtesting shows that the probability of hot coins exploding increases 3 times during this period);
Profit retention ratio: After each profit, 30% is converted to BTC spot (anti-fall anchoring), and 70% is used for rolling positions (maintaining compound interest momentum).
In the cryptocurrency world, 500U is never 'the principal', but rather the 'ticket' to leverage through technical discipline. When the trend, position, and risk control form a closed loop, the transformation from 500U to 50,000U is merely the natural result of technical rules.
The core of making big money through rolling positions is never 'knowing the method', but 'having the courage to execute + not stepping into pitfalls'.
No need to watch the market, no need to guess signals, just follow along. After all, the opportunity to make big money in the crypto world is never 'wait until you learn to come', but 'when you come, can you seize the opportunity'. Follow me@加密大师兄888
Seeing the market clearly gives you the confidence to operate. Steadily making profits is far more realistic than dreaming of getting rich quickly.
