As an 'old leek' who has been in the cryptocurrency world since 2013, I want to share the true state of the cryptocurrency world in 2025 and what you should do.
First, the cryptocurrency world is still playable, but it is no longer the era of 'blindly getting rich.' Here’s a conclusion: The cryptocurrency world is still viable, but it’s not an era where everyone gets rich; it’s an 'era of differentiation.' To put it bluntly, the gap between those who can make money and those who cannot is getting larger. The days of blindly buying Shiba, APE, and Dogecoin to see multiple returns are largely over; now, to make money, you need to rely on information gaps, strategies, and execution.
Because the market has shifted from being 'retail-driven' to 'institutional participation and capital games.' The opponents you face may be full-time on-chain analysts, arbitrage teams, or even AI robots... So, if you want to use the 'strategies from the last bull market' to participate in today's market, it's basically futile.
Second, whether you can make money actually depends on your mindset. You may think that the cryptocurrency world relies on vision, but the more critical factors are: mindset + rhythm control ability. The consensus among veteran traders has three points: do not chase the last segment of profits, do not be greedy for the first segment; the key is to eat meat in the middle; volatility is the norm, explosive rises are occasional; true opportunities are 'guarded' rather than 'rushed out'; do not be swayed by FOMO emotions: every time you see someone else getting rich, it may be backed by years of preparation.
Thirdly, opportunities still exist, but the cryptocurrency world has changed long ago; it is no longer unplayable but has transformed from a 'wealthy grassland' into a 'competition arena for experts.' If you still play today's market with the mindset of 2019 or 2021, you will only suffer more. However, if you are willing to calm down to study, build strategies, and optimize your understanding, the cryptocurrency world still offers the most potential return on investment. My personal account has gone from 300,000 to 1 million over nearly 10 years, but upon reaching 1 million, it clicked, soaring directly to 40 million. Today, I will share a few valuable insights; these experiences are worth 60 million, and I hope they can help you.
1. Divide your funds into 5 parts, only invest one-fifth each time! Control a 10% stop-loss; if you make a mistake once, you only lose 2% of the total funds; if you make 5 mistakes, you only lose 10% of the total funds. If you are correct, set a profit-taking point above 10%. Do you think you will still be trapped?
2. How to improve the winning rate again? Simply put, two words: go with the trend! In a downtrend, every rebound is a trap for the bulls; in an uptrend, every drop digs a golden pit! Which is easier to profit from: bottom fishing or low absorption?
3. Avoid coins that have rapidly surged in the short term, whether mainstream or altcoins; very few can produce several main upward waves. The logic here is that it is quite difficult to continue rising after a short-term surge. When a high position stagnates, it naturally declines when it cannot be pulled up later; it's a simple principle, but many still want to take a gamble.
4. Use MACD+ to determine entry and exit points; if the DIF line and DEA cross above the zero axis, it is a solid entry signal. When MACD forms a dead cross above the zero axis and moves downward, it can be seen as a signal to reduce positions.
5. I don’t know who invented the term 'averaging down,' but many retail investors have suffered huge losses because of it! Many people keep averaging down as they lose more, and this is the biggest taboo in trading coins: putting oneself in a dead end. Remember to never average down in a loss, but to add to your position when you are in profit.
6. Volume and price indicators are foremost; trading volume is the soul of the cryptocurrency world. Pay attention to volume breakout at low levels during consolidation and decisively exit when there is volume stagnation at high levels.
7. Only invest in coins with an upward trend, as this maximizes your chances and saves time. When the 3-day line turns upwards, it indicates a short-term rise; when the 30-day line turns upwards, it indicates a medium-term rise; when the 84-day line turns upwards, it indicates a main upward wave; when the 120-day moving average turns upwards, it indicates a long-term rise!
8. Insist on weekly reviews, check if the logic behind holding coins has changed, technically observe if the weekly K-line trend aligns with judgments, if the direction has undergone a trend change, and timely review and adjust trading strategies!
Additionally, here’s a method and underlying logic to filter hundredfold coins:
1. Low market cap preference: The circulating market cap and total market cap should be low, especially for public chains and dapp protocols. A low market cap means greater upward potential and avoids early profit-taking by the project party.
2. High potential in the chosen track: The chosen track should have a high ceiling and significant valuation potential. Refer to successful projects, such as public chains like ETH, SOL, dapp spring uni, Aave.
3. New narratives and value: Prefer projects with new narratives that solve real problems. Long-term value discovery is superior to short-term speculation; pay attention to hot topics like AIGPU computing power, secure public chains, etc.
4. The concealment of dark horse coins: Hundredfold dark horse coins are often hidden in areas not widely recognized. Avoid well-known high-open or normally valued coins.
5. Liquidity challenges for early coins: Early hundredfold coins often have poor liquidity, mostly found on small exchanges or on-chain. Crossing these thresholds is a necessary path to discovering value.
6. Launch time and market cycles: The best time for a token to go live is at the end of a bull market or the beginning of a bear market; a launch and washing period of 6-12 months is preferable for high circulation rates.
7. Affordable unit price: A low unit price, especially with many zeros after the decimal point, is more attractive to investors, especially in a bull market; low-priced coins are more favored by novices.
8. Prioritize public chains and leading protocols: Public chains and leading protocols on public chains have the most profit potential due to their long life cycles and continuous ecological development.
9. Team and institutional endorsement: The founder, team background, investment institutions, and financing amounts must be reliable; well-known teams and institutional participation increase project credibility.
10. Avoid value investment traps: Do not participate in projects that violate value investment logic, such as deflationary tokens; these projects often carry extremely high risks.
11. Old coins with new narratives can be considered: If an old coin has a strong new narrative that aligns with current market hotspots, it can be considered for participation, such as old coins related to the A metaverse field.
12. Prioritize leading projects in the chosen track: Within the selected track, prioritize leading projects, as they typically have stronger ecological influence and value potential.
Trading coins is about repeating simple tasks; persistently using one method over a long time can make you adept. Trading coins can be like any other industry: practice makes perfect, allowing you to make decisions swiftly and effortlessly.
This year marks my 17th year of trading coins; I entered the market with 10,000 and now support my family through trading! I can say that I have used about 80% of the methods and techniques in the market. If you want to treat trading coins as a second career to support your family, sometimes listening more and observing more will reveal some outside perspectives, at least helping you avoid 5 years of detours!
Follow me @加密大师兄888 to keep up with the trend and get rich together! Bull and bear together.
