The current market is like a startled bird; any noise can amplify the situation infinitely.
On one hand, recently, Bitcoin rose to 120,000 and then started to fluctuate, with many comparing it to the last bull market.
Although I am not in the external community, aren't many people comparing in this way?
Superficial things easily lead people to conjecture, and if you don't understand core analysis in the financial market, the characteristic is 'carving a boat to seek a sword.'
Many people say the bull market is over, that a big drop is coming, and that Bitcoin has peaked. In fact, it's just a comparison of trends: last bull market from 64000 to 30000, then slightly breaking a historical high before a bear market. Doesn’t the current trend look a bit similar?
But what I want to say is that market analysis is not that simple. If it were that simple, one could just compare historical trends, and no one would lose money, and Wall Street people wouldn't make money.
What the main force understands most is human nature; they know how to guide the thinking of the retail investors, so never trust superficial things.
Judging between bull and bear markets is very cautious and professional, requiring a comprehensive analysis of time, space, volume, price, capital, fundamentals, news, and policies.
This is through Bitcoin's historical trend, one spreads to ten, ten spreads to a hundred, and everyone begins to worry and panic.
Another hot topic recently in the market is Ethereum's staking exit, also known as Ethereum unlocking.
Ethereum node staking and exiting are actually happening anytime and anywhere, but this matter has been amplified recently.
In fact, based on what I mentioned in my previous articles, the position of Ethereum at $4000 will make many people worried and scared because it hasn't broken through in previous attempts. Plus, there have been recent rumors about Ethereum unlocking, which makes everything understandable.
These are merely some negative messages that the market intentionally spreads to combine with market trends and make retail investors believe that a big drop is imminent.
And retail investors just listen to the wind and act, not understanding the truth behind it. As long as this matter aligns with their current worries, they will believe it.
The image above shows Ethereum staking and exiting; the left side is for staking, and the right side is for exiting.
In fact, Ethereum node staking and exiting are being updated every day, constantly ongoing.
First of all, exiting the stake does not mean a market crash because one can restake after exiting.
To put it bluntly, everyone is worried that Ethereum at $4000 will drop significantly. The main force deliberately exits the stake and spreads rumors, isn't that making the market more panicked?
Secondly, with Ethereum's market value in trillions, even if this node sells all its Ethereum upon exiting, what can 2 to 3 billion do? This amount of money has no impact on market fluctuations.
So, there is really nothing to worry about; this is just the normal daily process of node staking being amplified by the market.
Why are there these voices influencing market sentiment when Ethereum rises to $4000 this time without breaking through?
Moreover, everyone is discussing this; remember, this must be deliberately spread by someone. Why spread it deliberately?
In fact, when you thoroughly analyze the market trends and know whether it is currently a bull or bear market, and whether the market is driven by bulls or bears.
The news in the market can serve as a reference for analyzing future market trends. If you understand Sun Tzu's Art of War and the Thirty-Six Stratagems, you will know which stratagem the main force is currently using.
