0-0Current Sentiment: With stop-loss sweep cycle concluded, many traders see this as an optimal "long-entry zone". This setup typically occurs after key support levels are retested and weak hands are flushed out. Buying interest in this range may indicate the end of manipulation via stop hunting (as observed on TradingView) .
447-0Why Traders Trap Broken? Institutions often push BTC just below visible stop-loss clusters—round numbers or trendline supports—to trigger cascading sell orders, then reverse the move upward. That sets the stage for a classic fakeout + reversal play .
⚖️ Risk / Reward Framework (approx. 115 K entry)
📍 Setup Element 📈 Observation
Structure 730-0Higher low formation above 110 K / 200 EMA ($114 088), consistent with Wyckoff-style spring accumulation
Momentum RSI and volume suggest mild overshooting; watch if they sustain above the 55MA and stay near the 60–65 band
Volatility With daily moves of ~1000 pts, leave 800–900 spread for stop-loss, positioned just below 112 K level to avoid noise-triggered exits
Liquidations Recent BTC longs (~$73M) were flushed during the dip—indicating bulls capitulated while bears mostly protected via lower shorts
A long entry in the 114 000–115 000 zone offers 1:2+ R/R targeting 118 500–121 000 as first profit areas.
---
📅 What Could Go Wrong?
A fresh macro shock (tariffs, weak NFP, regulatory risk) could push BTC under 110 K and re-trigger the cycle downward.
Failing to reclaim 121 000 with volume could result in a lower high formation, shifting momentum into a corrective phase.
✅ Trade Plan Summary (50 Words):
BTC now trades in a clean range after the stop-loss hunt. A long entry near 115 K with stop-loss at ~112 K gives favorable risk/reward. Initial profit targets are 118 500–121 000, with stretch toward 125 K if momentum continues. Tight risk control remains essential in a trickier macro environment.
🧠 Notes for Traders
Avoid guessing stop-hunts—place stops beyond visible structure and liquidity zones.
1536-5Use ATR or chandelier stops (2.5–3× ATR) to adapt for volatility .
Monitor open interest and whale flows—BTC shorts were recently concentrated, and bulls are rewriting the price narrative.
This isn’t a guaranteed run-up—but if support holds—and volume and momentum align—the long entry setup here could offer a strategic edge in the current cycle.