Breaking news! Recently, Trump's new tariff policy and a series of economic data have surfaced, causing severe market fluctuations! Especially the weakness in the U.S. July non-farm data, which directly intensified market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut rates. Meanwhile, Trump's son Eric Trump is supporting 'buying on dips' for BTC and ETH at this time; what market signal is hidden behind this?

Let's analyze from multiple dimensions to see if the cryptocurrency market is ready for a big rebound.


1. Trump's tariffs are heating up again, global economic worries intensify!

Starting August 7, Trump's new round of tariff policies will officially take effect, with U.S. tariffs on other countries at least 10%, while countries like Switzerland and India will face punitive tariff rates as high as 39% and 25%. This policy aims to further increase pressure in the trade war, and the uncertainty of the global economy also rises.

Impact: The uncertainty of the international economic environment, especially the escalation of trade barriers, will exacerbate market turbulence. For cryptocurrency investors, these external instability factors often lead to funds flowing into relatively 'decentralized' assets—Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH)! If confidence in traditional markets declines, cryptocurrencies are expected to have opportunities for capital inflows.


2. Expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut rates are rising, liquidity expectations are reversing!

With the release of the July non-farm payroll report, the number of new jobs was only 73,000, far below the market expectation of 100,000 and significantly lower than the previous value. This data triggered a surge in market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates! Market liquidity expectations have reversed dramatically, making a rate cut a high-probability event. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a rate cut in September is already close to 70%!

Impact: Lowering interest rates means lower rates, which will promote the flow of funds and lower the return expectations of traditional assets, indirectly driving funds into more resilient assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Especially in the context of the Federal Reserve adjusting monetary policy, the safe-haven properties of cryptocurrencies as digital gold may receive further recognition. BTC and ETH are expected to welcome another surge in the golden window period!



What signal is Eric Trump's 'buying on dips' really conveying?

In this economic environment, Eric Trump, Trump's son, posted a strong cryptocurrency buying signal on social media: 'Buy the dip!!! BTC, ETH'. This statement reflects strong confidence in a market recovery, especially in the context of turmoil in traditional markets; Eric Trump seems to be encouraging a 'comeback' for the cryptocurrency market.

Impact: As a public figure, Eric Trump's statements undoubtedly have a strong signaling effect on the crypto market. Under the influence of the Trump family, market sentiment can be easily activated, which may trigger more retail and institutional investors to follow suit, especially in their enthusiasm for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Historically, such celebrity effects often drive short-term fluctuations in market sentiment and can even directly influence coin prices.



In the coming days, pay attention to key economic data!

Economic data for August will be released in succession, providing more directional guidance for the market. The following key data will become the focus for investors:

U.S. June Factory Orders MoM (Monday 22:00)

U.S. July S&P Global Services PMI Final (Tuesday 21:45)

U.S. July ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Tuesday 22:00)

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week of August 2 (Thursday 20:30)

U.S. July New York Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Thursday 23:00)

Impact: If these data show weakness, it will further raise expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, intensifying market risk aversion. BTC and ETH may once again welcome a wave of rebound. Meanwhile, if the U.S. economy continues to be weak, global market capital allocation may further lean towards digital assets, especially in an environment of high inflation expectations, where BTC's value as digital gold will be further recognized by the market.


Summary:

In summary, Trump's new tariff policy, weak U.S. economic data, and Eric Trump's 'buying on dips' comments have injected strong volatility and investment opportunities into the cryptocurrency market. As expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut rates rise, and market sentiment gradually recovers, Bitcoin and Ethereum may welcome a strong rebound. The cryptocurrency market is certainly showing signs of fatigue, but the overall trend remains bullish. Everyone should pay close attention to the data signals presented by Old Chen, as this is key to capturing important swing points; market makers often act based on this data. Referring to this week's data signals, if you follow Old Chen's strategy, your gains could increase by at least 30%.

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I am Fortune Predictor Old Chen, focusing on news interpretation, and specifically targeting market inflection points! Follow me for daily strategy updates and know in advance.