Bitcoin Faces 67% Decline Risk in August and September, Warns Lookonchain
August 2, 2025
According to a report by Lookonchain, historical data suggests that Bitcoin may face challenges in the coming weeks.
Over the past 12 years, August and September have proven to be the weakest months for Bitcoin. The on-chain analytics platform revealed that during this 12-year August–September period, Bitcoin prices declined 8 times — indicating a 67% probability of price drops during this timeframe.
Currently, Bitcoin is priced around $115,000, and due to seasonal weakness, traders are showing caution — especially as the global market faces multiple challenges, including Trump’s new tax policy and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decisions.
Experts note that while historical seasonal trends are not a guarantee of future performance, they do influence trader sentiment and can amplify market reactions to negative news.
Therefore, investors are advised to consider these seasonal factors when forming their strategies and to stay prepared for potential market shifts.
This report highlights a possible decline in Bitcoin’s value — a significant warning in light of current economic conditions and international trade policies.