What I told you is a summary document from official Western intelligence sources confirming:
1. If the war in Ukraine ends quickly in favor of Russia...”**
It will recruit forces and equipment to launch a limited attack within 6 months, followed by direct threats to NATO neighbors within two years, and may prepare for a large-scale war within 5 years.
➝ These estimates are based on a Danish intelligence document shared with ISW.
2. German intelligence leaked a secret plan about the upcoming war with NATO:
Russia is supplying its forces at a faster rate than Europe expects, while German field defense plans warn of a potential disaster if rearmament is not expedited.
3. ISW reports confirm that Russia is restructuring its army and deploying it near NATO borders not for immediate attack, but to be prepared for any escalation during the period of 2027–2030.
4. The Baltic neighbors (Lithuania and Latvia), under special warnings:
Russia will try a new front by targeting the "Suwalki Gap" border, putting real field pressure to test the alliance's reaction.
From 2027 to 2030, Russia may be ready for a limited attack or even a major adventure against a NATO country, putting Europe on the brink of a permanent strategic shift.
Will NATO really stand firm?
Or will Russian intelligence operations and the burden of domestic manufacturing deprive the West of deterrence opportunities?