Current Market Trend Analysis and Trading Recommendations
The market has recently exhibited a rather contradictory state: positive data signals have been released, yet the market reaction has been unusually muted. This discrepancy warrants close attention.
At the same time, market expectations for a September interest rate cut are rising sharply, becoming a key factor influencing current market trends. Looking at the US stock market, it is currently relatively high overall, and yesterday saw a pattern of opening high and closing low, forming a large bullish candlestick. Based on technical patterns and market dynamics, this trend is highly likely to lead to a sustained decline, and investors should be aware of this potential risk.
In terms of market sentiment, many believe that now is a good time to buy the dip, but the market has not seen the expected sharp rebound. Instead, it has exhibited a "buy whatever money comes in" trend. This suggests that bullish momentum is currently insufficient, and the nature of the buying is more passive than actively driving the market upward.
Based on the above analysis, a long-term strategy is most appropriate at this stage. If the market falls below 3657 points and continues to trade below it, we could see a move further towards 3600 points, a key short-term support level and target. Personally, I expect the market to dip below 3500 points. Investors can adjust their trading strategies and position allocation accordingly.