Leading economists have published reports estimating the economic losses from the war between the Russian Federation and Ukraine in trillions of dollars. According to the IMF and World Bank, global GDP could decline by 2–3% in the coming years due to supply chain disruptions, rising energy prices, and a food crisis. Ukraine has lost over $400 billion, while the Russian Federation is estimated to pay the most — up to $1.5 trillion due to sanctions, market losses, and reduced exports.
Experts note that the Russian Federation is suffering the most due to isolation from the global financial system, the fall of the ruble, and capital flight. The country's economy could shrink by 10–15% by 2026. At the same time, Europe, especially Germany and Poland, is facing an energy crisis, while countries in Africa and the Middle East are suffering from grain shortages due to the blockade of Ukrainian ports.
Cryptocurrencies, particularly $BTC , are becoming a refuge for investors avoiding traditional assets. BTC trading volumes rose by 12% over the month, reflecting demand for 'protection' against inflation. Experts predict that the war may accelerate the shift to decentralized finance.
World leaders call for diplomatic efforts, but forecasts remain pessimistic for now. According to analysts, the Russian Federation will take decades to recover, while Ukraine will require extensive international assistance.
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