✅ What influences the cryptocurrency trend
Macroeconomics
If global central banks continue to lower rates → crypto may rise.
If a recession begins or the dollar strengthens → a decline is possible.
Regulation
Strict laws (for example, in the US or EU) → price decrease.
Positive steps (ETF, legalization) → growth.
Bitcoin Halving (2024 has already passed)
Usually, 6–12 months after the halving, the market goes into a bullish trend. Right now, we are in this phase.
Institutional investments
The arrival of major funds (BlackRock, Fidelity) — a strong positive signal.
📊 Scenarios for 2025
Bullish scenario (60%):
BTC → $100K, ETH → $6–8K, altcoins x2–x5, if ETFs continue to gain volume.
Flat (25%):
BTC holds in the range of $50K–$70K.
Bearish scenario (15%):
Global crisis or strict regulation → BTC < $40K.
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