✅ What influences the cryptocurrency trend

Macroeconomics

If global central banks continue to lower rates → crypto may rise.

If a recession begins or the dollar strengthens → a decline is possible.

Regulation

Strict laws (for example, in the US or EU) → price decrease.

Positive steps (ETF, legalization) → growth.

Bitcoin Halving (2024 has already passed)

Usually, 6–12 months after the halving, the market goes into a bullish trend. Right now, we are in this phase.

Institutional investments

The arrival of major funds (BlackRock, Fidelity) — a strong positive signal.

📊 Scenarios for 2025

Bullish scenario (60%):

BTC → $100K, ETH → $6–8K, altcoins x2–x5, if ETFs continue to gain volume.

Flat (25%):

BTC holds in the range of $50K–$70K.

Bearish scenario (15%):

Global crisis or strict regulation → BTC < $40K.

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