# ⚠️ **Main Risk Alerts**
- **Low Market Cap Manipulation Risk**: Only 15.6% circulating supply (156 million), small amounts of capital can trigger significant volatility.
- **Regulatory Uncertainty**: Coinbase's "experimental" label warns of compliance risks; tightening policies could impact liquidity.
- **Competitive Pressure**: Meme coins like Shiba ecosystem's TREAT divert funds, weakening TREE's market attention.
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### 💎 **Comprehensive Assessment and Strategic Recommendations**
- **Short-term (1-3 months)**: Fluctuation range **$0.30–$0.38**, a breakout requires volume support, primarily observe.
- **Long-term (1-5 years)**: Fundamentals driven (expansion of DeFi fixed income sector), target of **$1.0+** is possible, dollar-cost averaging strategy is preferred.
- **Risk Hedge**: Position size ≤ 5% of total investment portfolio, avoid high-leverage operations.
It is recommended to continuously monitor Binance Alpha activities and tETH on-chain adoption rates, as these will be key verification indicators for price trends.