#FOMCMeeting July 29–30: What It Means for Crypto
The U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate decision on July 30, 2025, with most analysts expecting no rate change. However, the market is laser-focused on signals about future rate cuts later this year.
• Current Fed Funds Rate: 4.25%–4.50%
• Probability of July cut: ~11%
• Odds of September cut: ~60%
(Sources: CME FedWatch, MarketWatch)
💥 Why Crypto Cares
1. Liquidity Impact
• Lower interest rates = More liquidity → Crypto bullish
• Higher or steady rates = Tighter conditions → Risk-off sentiment
2. Market Sensitivity
• Fed’s language drives volatility.
• Dovish tone → $BTC rally
• Hawkish tone → Crypto sell-off
• Previous FOMC meetings triggered 5–7% $BTC intraday swings
3. Correlation with the Dollar
• Rate cuts → weaker dollar → bullish for $BTC
• Rate hikes or hawkish tone → stronger dollar → bearish for BTC