The countdown to the interest rate decision has begun, Wall Street did not wait for a rate cut but instead witnessed a Fed internal struggle that hasn't been seen in 32 years!
At 2:00 AM Beijing time on July 31, the Federal Reserve will announce the latest interest rate decision, and half an hour later, Powell will personally hold a press conference. Everyone is holding their breath—this meeting seems to have no suspense, but in reality, the undercurrents are surging!
A once-in-a-century split: Two directors turn against each other.
An epic power struggle is unfolding within the Federal Reserve!
Director Waller and Vice Chair Bowman—these two fierce characters personally appointed by Trump to the Federal Reserve—have publicly called for an immediate rate cut, singing against Chair Powell. Waller even stated that the Federal Reserve should take immediate action to save the 'marginally positioned' job market.
If both of them cast opposing votes tonight, it will be the first time since 1993 that two directors turn against each other! The last time this happened, Bitcoin had not yet been born.
This internal struggle is not only a policy disagreement but is revealed by JPMorgan's chief economist to be a 'political game for the Federal Reserve chairmanship'.
September rate cut has become a foregone conclusion? The market has already started celebrating in advance.
Although there is a 97.9% probability of holding steady tonight, the true nuclear bomb is hidden in Powell's mouth!
Traders have already wildly bet: the probability of a rate cut in September has soared to 81%, far exceeding July.
The key depends on whether Powell will say that secret phrase: 'By the September meeting, we will have enough information'—if the hint lands, the dollar will fall in response, and the crypto market will instantly ignite the fuse!
Historical data shows the power: After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in 2020, Bitcoin skyrocketed from $10,000 to $60,000, an increase of over 500%.
Analysts boldly predict: If dovish signals are released tonight, Bitcoin may lightning bolt past $125,000, and Ethereum will storm towards $4,000, completely igniting the altcoin season!
Tonight, keep an eye on three major explosive points, ambush the opportunity to get rich.
People in the crypto circle must guard three signal flares tonight:
2:00 AM: Voting results! If Waller & Bowman are joined by a third dovish director, the collapse of the Fed's credibility will trigger a massive shock.
Powell's speech: Focus on capturing keywords like 'weak labor market' or 'controllable inflation', the fate of the dollar hinges on this move.
Data nuclear bomb: The U.S. small non-farm payrolls + GDP data that will be bombarded tonight, if employment weakens = rate cut approaches = crypto rocket fuel.
Whales have quietly positioned themselves! On-chain monitoring shows: a certain mysterious large holder has rapidly closed BTC positions, betting $65 million on Ethereum, with leverage up to 25 times—a big player has bet real money on tonight's change!
The calm before the storm.
At this moment, Bitcoin is gaining momentum at $116,000, while Ethereum is lying in wait at $3,600.
The market is like a compressed spring, just waiting for a spark to leak out from Powell's fingers.
Remember the script of 2020: When the Federal Reserve's floodgates reopen, the crypto world will surely welcome a huge wave.
If dovish shadows appear tonight, your account may add a zero before dawn—and I will decode Powell's secret language in real time in the comments.
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