'Trump's trade nuclear bomb blew up the new direction of global capital, the 3758 high-pressure wall in front of ETH, tonight either a rocket launch pad or a guillotine!'
Tycoon news breakdown
The US-Japan agreement shocks and lands
Trump publicly announces: Japan will flood the US with $550 billion (note the unit is USD!)
US side monopolizes 90% of profits + Japan fully opens auto/agricultural product markets + pays 15% tariffs
Deep impact: Massive capital flows cross-border, traditional sectors' hot money urgently need new outlets — the 'reservoir effect' in the crypto market is surging!
EU war of attrition starts tonight
Trump declares: On Wednesday (tonight) to fight the EU hard, and on Thursday to continue the battle with other countries
Negotiation chain cannon mode activated: Global trade order reshaping accelerates, market volatility expectations soar!
Crypto circle revelations: Historical confirmation (like the 2020 US-Mexico-Canada Agreement phase), after significant trade agreements are finalized, sudden capital inflows often occur in the crypto market within 1-3 trading days!
Technical life and death situation
Price trapped in a struggle: ETH tightly grips the core range of 3710-3750, this morning's surge to 3750 was violently knocked back by the Bollinger upper band 3758!
MACD holds secrets: Although indicators are below the zero line (bearish advantage zone), green bars continue to shorten — bear selling momentum exhausted, bulls are building up for a counterattack!
Volume mystery step: Current hourly volume is only 70,000 USD (far below yesterday's peak), not lack of strength, but truly a suffocating moment before the storm! The main force is waiting for the negotiation wind indicator.
Key breaking point:
Bullish lifeline: 3710 + Bollinger middle band 3702 — If lost, slide towards 3650 → 3610 seeking support
General attack signal: Breakthrough with volume at 3758! Once stabilized, the 3790 high ground will become a new battlefield
Tycoon's viewpoint
'The chaotic trade era is precisely the golden period for crypto!'
Refer to the March 2023 US bond storm: After ETH's sideways fluctuation of 22 hours, the news became clear, and it surged 8%! Tonight's US-EU negotiations are the same kind of powder keg!
Why bullish?
Capital outflow effect: After the $550 billion agreement, some funds will inevitably flow to high-volatility assets (like ETH options' implied volatility skyrocketing this morning +15%)
Technical resonance: MACD bears exhausted + price firmly holding key levels, 'the spring compressed to the extreme must rebound'!
Market sentiment indicator: Fear and greed index 56 (neutral biased towards greed), ETH perpetual funding rate turns positive — retail bears while the main force secretly lays long positions!
Tonight at 22:00 (US-EU negotiation window), must closely monitor three key points:
ETH 3758 high-pressure line offensive and defensive battle (breakthrough with volume = chasing signal)
EU concession terms leaked (automobile/technology tariff relaxation = favorable for risk assets)
Trump's sudden tweet (one statement from the old man can rewrite the script!)
When the $550 billion cannonball blasts open the capital floodgate, will this trapped beast ETH step over the corpses of the bears to break the 3758 cage, or will it be shot in the head by a trade black swan? The tycoon’s bullet is loaded — gentlemen, tonight is a gamble of life or luck?!
#ETH #日美关税 #美欧关税谈判
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