“After a 51% surge, RSI skyrockets to 81! Is OM a rocket or a trap? A hidden sell wall of a million USDT above $0.36, a showdown between bulls and bears is imminent!”
【Quick Overview】
OM increased by 52% in 24 hours, RSI is overbought at 81, net inflow in spot is 5.3M, but contracts have significantly reduced by -36.6M, funding rate is negative; short-term remains in one-sided momentum, but the deviation from MA200 has reached 51%, liquidity traps are dense above 0.44-0.5, a pullback to the high transaction area of 0.30-0.31 can be a long position, dropping below 0.285 will turn bearish, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.5:1, strictly control 1% position.
【Key Interval Structure】
1. Value Anchoring Area: POC 0.230, maximum transaction of 293M over 2 weeks; the current price is far from 1.5×ATR, short-term has a need for regression.
2. HVN Buffer: 0.300-0.306 (258M), 0.347-0.352 (215M), the former is a support for the bulls' pullback, the latter is resistance above.
3. LVN Gap: 0.328-0.331, 0.251-0.256, price can easily cross quickly, both breakout/pullback can be traded.
4. 70% Transaction Volume Coverage Area: 0.221-0.371, the current price of 0.359 is at the upper edge, close to overbought boundary.
5. Momentum Validation: Up Volume 91.7% in the 0.30-0.31 area, dominated by buyers; Up Volume 36.4% in the 0.35-0.36 area, sellers begin to dominate.
【Market Cycle】
Short-term is at the “end of accelerated rise,” mid-term is still in a large-scale bear market rebound phase; continuous position reduction in contracts + negative rate indicates bulls taking profits, with spot buying supporting the short-term trend.
【Trading Strategy】
Aggressive Pullback Long: Light position long at 0.303-0.306 (lower edge of HVN), stop loss at 0.285 (outside lower HVN), target at 0.347/0.44, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.5:1.
Conservative Breakout Short: Short at 0.328 LVN pulling back to 0.331-0.333, stop loss at 0.340, target at 0.306/0.285, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.2:1.
Position: Each trade ≤1% of account, reverse calculate position size from ATR 0.022.
【Risk Warning】
• There are more than 1.6M USDT sell orders above 0.44-0.5, which may cause an instant pullback.
• Contracts have reduced positions by 15% in 24 hours; if this continues to accelerate → bulls may be trampled.
• Sudden events or BTC pullbacks will amplify volatility.
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