The big one is coming for #C ! Will the crypto market plummet by 40% due to the "Genius Bill"?

Short-term: Sentiment remains exuberant, BTC may surge to 125,000, and ETH may test 3,800, but it is not recommended to chase highs, especially with leveraged long positions. The greed index is at 71 (greed zone), and the market is on the edge of "irrational exuberance." Those holding long positions should reduce their positions by 30% at highs, and set hard stop losses for remaining positions (BTC at 117,000, ETH at 3,480) to guard against sudden pullbacks.

Medium-term: Pay close attention to two signals:

The Senate vote results on the "Genius Bill" (if the opposition votes exceed 40%, it may lead to a crash); the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut pace (an interest rate cut would support the market, while delays or economic deterioration would lead to a capital return to the bond market, putting pressure on crypto).

Long-term: The trend toward institutionalization is irreversible, but regulatory details will determine the ceiling. Strict regulation of stablecoins weakens the "decentralization" advantage, while the implementation of pension fund entry policies would open a trillion-dollar capital gateway.

#GENIUS稳定币法案 #美国众议院通过三项加密货币法案 #山寨季何时到来？ #比特币巨鲸动向

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