⚡“SEI 0.34 Life and Death Line! Whales Reduce Positions by 43M but Place 1.1M Sell Wall, Breaking 0.39 Will Trigger FOMO Rocket?”⚡
Overview in One Sentence: SEI dropped 2.4% in 24h, contract positions decreased for 9.34% consecutively, with 1.15M sell orders stacked at 0.39, and 214k buy orders at 0.3 forming a protective moat; the short term remains in a high trading volume zone of 0.334-0.352, if it breaks 0.352 with volume, it will quickly test 0.39, if it loses 0.334, it will pull back to 0.30. Aggressive buy on pullbacks, conservative chase on breaks, stop loss at 0.328, risk-reward ratio 2.5.
Key Ranges and Volume Distribution
• Value Anchor: POC 0.341 (57.5M traded)
• High Volume Buffer: HVN1 0.334, HVN2 0.348, price is likely to linger
• Low Volume Gaps: LVN1 0.292, LVN2 0.316, breakout/pullback acceleration zone
• 70% Trading Area: 0.261-0.371, current price is at the midpoint, not overbought or oversold
Momentum Verification
• Up Vol above POC 48%, Down Vol below 52%, long and short balanced
• 1h Bollinger Band Middle Band 0.351, current price near the lower band, RSI 41, weak short-term rebound demand
• Contract positions decreased 9.34% in 24h, funding rate remains positive, long positions dominate
Market Cycle
Mid-term oscillation and downward channel, short-term is in the latter part of the 0.30-0.39 range, if it cannot quickly reclaim 0.352, weakness will continue.
Trading Strategies
1. Range Pullback Buy (Aggressive):
Entry at 0.337±0.002 (upper range of LVN 0.334-0.341), stop loss at 0.328 (outside HVN 0.334), target 0.352 / 0.365, risk-reward ratio 2.5.
2. Breakout Buy (Conservative):
Volume breakout at 0.352 (upper range of HVN 0.351), enter on pullback at 0.350, stop loss at 0.345, target 0.39, risk-reward ratio 2.8.
3. Reverse Short:
If it breaks 0.328 and Down Vol > 55%, short on rebound at 0.334-0.337, stop loss at 0.341, target 0.316 / 0.30, risk-reward ratio 2.2.
Risk Warnings
• Contract positions continuously flowing out, concentrated long stop losses at 0.328;
• 1.15M sell wall at 0.39 requires volume ≥1.5× average volume to break;
• Sudden macro negative news or BTC plunge will accelerate the drop below 0.30.
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