【FOMO Alert】UNI at a critical crossroads at $10.3: Is it a pullback to enter or a false breakout to lure in buyers?
Summary: UNI has pulled back 3.7% in the last 24 hours, the price is still 13% above MA200, but contract positions have decreased by 3.47% in the last 24 hours, and the long-short ratio has risen to 5.07, with short-term funds on the sidelines. Conservative strategy: If it pulls back to 9.9–10.0 LVN (buy-side liquidity 246k) and Up Volume > 60%, go long, stop loss at 9.75, target 10.7 (upper HVN), risk-reward ratio 3.2; if it breaks down with volume below 9.75, go short, stop loss at 10.05, target 9.45 POC, risk-reward ratio 2.8. Beware of fluctuations from overnight macro news, position ≤ 1%.
Key Range Structure
• Value Anchor Zone: POC 9.45 (39.48 million transaction volume, Up 59%) is the mid-term bull-bear watershed.
• High Volume Zone: 9.05–9.27 HVN forms the first support, 10.5–10.7 HVN is the intraday resistance.
• Low Volume Gaps: 9.9–10.0 LVN and 10.88–11.0 LVN, the former is the first choice for a pullback to go long, the latter can be chased if it breaks with volume.
• 70% Volume Coverage Zone: 6.90–10.78, current price is in the upper half at 54%, not overbought.
Momentum Verification
• Up/Down near POC 59%:41%, buyers slightly dominate; 9.9–10.0 LVN Up 61%, meeting the condition for a pullback to go long.
• 4h level volume is decreasing near 10.0, need to wait for confirmation with increased volume.
Auxiliary Judgement
• Bollinger Band 1h middle track at 10.25, current price is close; MA200 at 9.08, trend is still upward.
• Contract positions have net outflow of 4.63M in 24h, funds are on the sidelines, a breakout requires new fund inflow.
Market Cycle
Mid-term still in the "oscillating upwards" phase, short-term entering a "high-level consolidation" sub-cycle, waiting for direction choice.
Trading Strategies (based on VPVR)
Aggressive: Current price 10.28 light position to try long, stop loss at 10.05, target 10.7, risk-reward ratio 1.9.
Conservative: Place orders in the 9.95–10.0 range to go long, stop loss at 9.75 (lower HVN 9.72 outer side), target 10.7, risk-reward ratio 3.2.
Cautious: Go long after breaking 10.88 LVN and pulling back to 10.85, stop loss at 10.6, target 11.4.
Risk Warning
• If it falls below 9.75, the short-term trend turns bearish.
• Overnight US stocks and macro data may trigger spikes, avoid low liquidity periods.
Like and follow for real-time updates!
This article is sponsored by @Ad Space!
