【FOMO Alert】1000LUNC volume reduction retesting value area, 0.0635 is the life-and-death line for longs and shorts! Short-term 3.2x profit-loss ratio ambush plan exposed
Summary in one sentence: LUNC is oscillating narrowly around 0.0656, with 70% of the trading volume locked in the 0.0556-0.0692 range; contract positions increased by 12.75% in 24 hours but saw a continuous net outflow of -23M in the 4-12 hours, with capital quietly accumulating. A retest at POC 0.0635±0.0002 allows for light long positions; a drop below 0.0627 triggers stop-loss, targeting 0.0687, with a 3.2 profit-loss ratio; if a significant drop below 0.0627 occurs, switch to short, stop-loss at 0.0635, target 0.0603. Note that the funding rate is +0.01% biased towards long, but there is a divergence in the long-term OI, position ≤ 1%.
Range structure:
1. Value anchor POC: 0.0635 (433M trading), repeated contest between longs and shorts.
2. Major HVN: 0.0628-0.0645 (330-425M trading), forming the central axis of the range, a retest not breaking is considered a bullish defense line.
3. Key LVN: 0.0587-0.0597 (24-37M trading), upper vacuum, once it drops below 0.0627 will quickly probe downwards.
4. 70% trading volume zone: 0.0556-0.0692; current price is in the upper half of the zone, short-term slightly overbought.
Momentum validation:
• Up/Down near POC ≈ 46:54, sellers slightly dominant; but recent HVN 0.0642 Up Volume is 61%, short-term buying remains.
• The 4h-12h contract net outflow of -23M synchronized with the price drop, which is a healthy retest; 24h OI increased by 12.75% but accompanied by long-end short covering, mid-term is slightly optimistic.
Strategy:
• Long on retest: Place orders in the 0.0635-0.0637 range, stop-loss at 0.0627 (outside of lower HVN), target 0.0687 (upper HVN), profit-loss ratio 3.2.
• Short on break: If the 1h close drops below 0.0627, short on rebound at 0.0635, stop-loss at 0.0642, target 0.0603, profit-loss ratio 2.8.
Risk: Positive funding rate + long-term OI divergence; if the macro crypto market collapses, the range may fail. Position ≤ 1%, avoid high volatility periods.
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