【USTC Rocket Reignition? 0.016 Breakthrough Eve, Missing = Slapping Thigh!】
Quick Overview: USTC 24h Volume +12%, Price above MA200 by 13%, but Contract OI has flowed out 280 million in 5 days, with 95 million flowing out in spot simultaneously. Short-term bulls need to guard against a pullback to the high transaction area of 0.0155-0.0165; if the pullback does not break 0.0155, low long positions can be entered, but if it breaks 0.0149, reverse to high short, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.3, risk control 1% of funds.
Key Interval Structure
• Value Anchor (POC): 0.01651 (868 million transaction volume) — Current price is closely above it, bulls are in control.
• High Volume Node (HVN):
– 0.01587-0.01639 consecutive four HVNs, forming a strong support zone;
– 0.01388-0.01404 is the lower secondary HVN, if it breaks 0.0149 it will quickly probe that area.
• Low Volume Node (LVN):
– 0.0149-0.0150 upper void, breaking through can accelerate to 0.0175;
– 0.0122-0.0124 lower void, during extreme pullbacks can slide directly to 0.0116.
• 70% Volume Coverage Area: 0.01253-0.01755, current price is at the upper edge, slightly overbought in the short term.
Momentum Validation
POC Area Up/Down Volume 66.8%: Buyers still dominate; 4h level transaction volume is decreasing, beware of diminishing bullish momentum.
Order Book Anomaly
The buy/sell ratio of the order book is 1.34, seemingly bullish, but near-end sell orders are abundant at 22.42 million, with a total of 20 million USDT sell wall in five levels above 0.023-0.078, short-term rises will encounter selling pressure.
Market Cycle
Mid-term still in a consolidation bottoming strengthening phase, short-term is the second segment of "Rally - Pullback", has not entered a full bull market.
Trading Strategy
Aggressive: If a 15m level PinBar appears on the pullback at 0.01555-0.01575 within HVN, go long, stop loss at 0.01488 (outside lower HVN), target 0.0175/0.0185, risk-reward ratio 2.3.
Conservative: Wait for 1h close to return above 0.01651 with volume, then chase long, stop loss at 0.0159.
Cautious: If it breaks 0.0149, reverse to short, stop loss at 0.0154, target 0.0139, risk-reward ratio 2.1.
Risk Warning
• Contract funding rate is only 0.005%, low cost for bulls, may collectively take profit and dump at any time.
• Continuous net outflow in spot, if more than 50 million flows out again during the day, the strategy becomes invalid.
• Avoid low liquidity periods (UTC 02:00-06:00).
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