#Caldera @Caldera Official
"ERA Flash Crash 14% After Bottom Fishing Window? POC Value Anchor 1.68 Becomes Bull-Bear Showdown Point, Wait Another Year If Missed!"
【Quick Overview】
ERA dropped 14% in 24 hours, with the price at the lower Bollinger Band of 1.47, still at a 14% discount from the POC value anchor of 1.68; the market buy order shows a 1.57 times advantage, and the negative funding rate indicates short-term overselling, can try to go long with a small position, stop-loss at 1.43, target 1.60/1.68, risk-reward ratio ≈ 3.0. If it breaks below 1.43 with volume, the trend turns bearish.
Key Interval Structure
• Value Anchor POC: 1.676 (236M maximum transaction), upper HVN 1.50-1.54 is short-term resistance, lower HVN 1.43-1.45 is a buffer.
• Low Volume Gap LVN: 1.96-2.05 (62M transaction), if the price rebounds to this level, it will quickly pass through.
• 70% Trading Volume Zone: 0.20-1.85, current price is in the lower half, not in overbought territory.
• Up/Down Volume: Up 76% near POC, buy orders dominate; 1.47-1.48 Up 79%, short-term bulls are gaining momentum.
Momentum and Indicators
• Bollinger Bands: 1h lower band at 1.34, current price is at the 25th percentile, RSI 26, extremely oversold.
• MA200: 1.60, deviation -8%, still bearish in the medium term, short-term has a mean reversion demand.
• OI: 12h open interest increased by +20.5% but the price dropped, the probability of short-term profit-taking on the added shorts is high.
• Market: Sell wall at 1.75, 2.0, liquidity trap is far, short-term pressure is limited.
Trading Strategy
Aggressive: Go long at current price 1.472±0.005, stop-loss at 1.428 (below HVN -0.5ATR), first target 1.60 (HVN 1.60-1.62), second target 1.68 (POC), risk-reward ratio = 3.0.
Conservative: Wait for a pullback to 1.45-1.46 LVN and enter when 15m Up Volume > 60%, stop-loss at 1.428, targets as above.
Cautious: If 1.428 breaks and volume increases, reverse to go short, stop-loss at 1.46, target 1.34 (Bollinger Band lower band).
Risk Warning
• If the 12h closing price is below 1.428, then overselling is invalidated, and the trend continues downward.
• Macro risks or project negative news can trigger a new round of selling.
• Single position ≤ 1%, avoid low liquidity periods (UTC+0 02:00-06:00).
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