🧨 1. Policy and Regulatory Trends: Regulatory Clarity Explodes
1. Trump plans to sign an executive order: Allowing pension funds to invest in crypto assets (Major news)
Coverage: $9 trillion 401(k) retirement market in the U.S.;

Investment targets: Bitcoin, Ethereum, gold, private equity, and other alternative assets;

Expected Progress: Signing as early as this week, directing regulators to review current restrictions;

✅ Impact Assessment: Could become the largest compliant capital entry channel in U.S. history, long-term bullish for BTC, ETH, and other mainstream assets.

2. Three crypto legislations passed: U.S. compliance path established
✅ (GENIUS Act)
Content: Clarifies the regulatory framework for stablecoins;

Progress: Trump is expected to sign on July 19 (this Friday);

✅ Significance: Legalization of stablecoins takes a key step, clearing obstacles for compliant circulation of USDT, USDC, and others.

✅ (CLARITY Act)
Content: Clarifies classification, regulatory division, and compliance paths for digital assets;

Current Status: Passed the House of Representatives, with further processes underway;

✅ Significance: Provides compliance guidance for exchanges, DeFi, and token projects, greatly alleviating compliance uncertainty.

✅ (Anti-CBDC Act)
Content: Prohibits the Federal Reserve from issuing central bank digital currency (CBDC);

Progress: Will be included in the (Defense Authorization Act) for advancement;

✅ Significance: Reflects the U.S. government's support for decentralization, reinforcing the legal status of private crypto assets.

3. Australia announces anti-money laundering reforms: Strengthens crypto regulation (Regional bearish)
Regulatory Authority: Australian Transaction Reports and Analysis Centre (AUSTRAC);

Regulatory Scope: Targets crypto exchanges and virtual assets as key areas for enforcement;

Impact Scope: Approximately 80,000 additional businesses will be under regulation, including real estate agents, accountants, precious metals traders, etc.;

Compliance Timeline: To be implemented in phases starting March 31, 2026;

⚠️ Brief Assessment: Short-term bearish for the Australian market, but long-term beneficial for crypto legalization and mainstream acceptance.

📊 2. Macroeconomic and Economic Data: Risk assets are in a game-playing period
4. Federal Reserve official Daly: Two interest rate cuts in 2025 are reasonable
Stance: Dovish;

Market Reaction: Supports expectations for rate cuts this year, releases easing signals;

Interpretation: The job market remains robust, slightly restraining the momentum for Fed rate cuts;

⚠️ Impact Assessment: Strengthens short-term wait-and-see sentiment, delaying aggressive easing pace.

🏦 3. Corporate and Market Dynamics: ETH becomes the main asset
6. SharpLink plans to issue $5 billion to further increase its holdings in Ethereum (Super major news)
Dynamics: Plans to issue additional common stock to increase ETH holdings;

Current Holdings: Holds 321,000 ETH (approximately $1.1 billion), making it the largest corporate-level ETH holding globally;

⚖️ 4. Political Variables: Federal Reserve Chairman faces potential legal risks
8. Powell accused of potentially 'committing perjury'
Source: Disclosure from the head of the U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency;

⚠️ Risk Warning: If the situation continues to escalate, it may undermine the credibility of the Federal Reserve, triggering short-term volatility in the dollar index and gold, bond markets.

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