Brothers, the Ails monitoring radar has sounded again! ETH is now stuck at the life-and-death line of 3623, the market is like a fully drawn bow—either it soars or blood washes the bulls! It was just uncovered that Tether dumped 2 billion USDT into the market at dawn, with on-chain giants simultaneously accumulating 28,000 ETH (costing 3580 dollars), and exchange ETH inventory plummeting 12% in a week; this momentum clearly bets on tonight's data explosion! Let me break down today's offensive and defensive script:
The turning point cannon has been loaded.
First Shot: European CPI (16:30)
If data > 2.5% (expected value 2.3%), it will directly trigger a risk-averse buying spree! ETH will violently hit the 3650 resistance level, along with MACD golden cross turning green, instantly triggering the stop-loss orders above 3600!
Second Shot: US Retail (20:30)
If data is below expectations (previous value 0.8%), the dollar must kneel! ETH may surge to 3650, but beware of the main force's 'false breakout and real burial'—yesterday, after ETH surged to 3680, 38 million USD was liquidated within one hour, all from the blood and tears of chasing retail investors!
Third Shot: Federal Reserve Speech (22:00)
Dovish = ETH plunges to 3720 highs; Hawkish = 3580 bullish defense line evaporates instantly! Remember the lesson from May 2023: Powell's statement of 'continuing rate hikes' led to a 17% single-day drop for ETH!
Nuclear Explosion Rule: Volatility surged 300% within one hour after data release, with over 80% death rate on 5x leverage!
The Hidden Battle on the Chain Reveals Secrets.
20 Billion USDT Minting Doubts: Tether dumped 2 billion USDT into the Ethereum chain in two transactions this morning; historical rules show: After USDT issuance, ETH has averaged a surge of 8.2% within 72 hours!
The withdrawal tide continues: Binance's ETH reserves decreased by 12% this week, and a certain whale withdrew 28,000 ETH (valued at 100 million USD) early this morning, precisely costing 3580—this is clearly the bottom-fishing method of the 'data market' old dogs!
Hedge Fund's Divine Operation: Hong Kong OSL Exchange (code 863) saw ETH options open interest surge by 47%, with a strike price of 3600 call options premium at 300%—the big sharks are betting on a breakout tonight!
Ails Practical Teaching Plan.
Scenario 1: European CPI Explodes.
Signal: ETH breaks through 3650 with volume + MACD turns green.
Killer Move: Go long at 3680 (3x leverage), stop loss at 3650, target 3720→3823.
Case: On May 17, European inflation reached 2.7%, ETH surged 5.3% in one hour.
Scenario 2: US Retail Slumps.
Signal: ETH falls below 3580 + 15-minute volume expands by 200%.
Killer Move: Short at 3600 on a rebound (5x leverage), stop loss at 3620, target 3520→3450.
Case: On July 11, retail data was -0.3%, ETH spiked to 3528 and exploded 120 million longs.
Life-saving Hanging Order Point.
Long Order Emergency Kit: 3580 (whale cost line) → 3530 (weekly life line).
Short Order Fire Point: 3680 (yesterday's pressure) → 3720 (previous high ammo depot).
Warning of Historical Repetition
Do you remember May 17, 2025? ETH was also stuck at the 2500 life-and-death line, and that night, the US retail data exceeded expectations, leading the main force to instantly smash it down to 2425, with the 2500 bottom-fishing party losing an average of 23% in one hour! Now the script is repeating, the only variable is—can tonight's 2 billion USDT withstand the short-selling nuclear bomb?
Ultimate Move: Three-Stage Timeline.
Truth: In the data market, only the living have the right to pick up money!
Real-time synchronization: I have placed a long order at 3585 + a short order at 3680, hedging to lock in tonight's volatility profits, live breakdown at 20:00!
If you are monitoring the market every day and still losing money, then the most common thing I say is: 'It's not that you can't do it, it's that your method is wrong.' I have completed the revision of the six rolling warehouse recovery models. I can share them, but only with those who are seriously looking to turn things around; please do not disturb if you are not sincere. What you lack is not luck, but the Ails team!