#lagrang @Lagrange Official
🚨LA 0.35 Bottom Fishing? The main players are quietly accumulating, don't miss out or wait another year!
Summary: LA has continuously declined for 8 days with reduced volume, dropping to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. The contract OI has reached a 7-day low, and the price is below the 70% trading range; if 0.345 LVN holds with increased volume, a short-term rebound of 8% to POC 0.363 can be expected, with a stop loss at 0.340 and a risk-reward ratio of 2.4; if it breaks down, it will accelerate to 0.32, so be quick in and out.
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Key Interval Structure
• Value Anchor (POC): 0.363, the maximum trading area for 8 days, UpVol 57%, concentrated long positions.
• High Volume Node (HVN): 0.345, 0.358, historically providing multiple rebounds; if there is a reduced volume pullback during the day, it can be considered a buying opportunity.
• Low Volume Node (LVN): 0.324-0.333 and 0.389, the former is an acceleration area for decline, the latter is a vacuum zone for rebound, breaking through means moving away quickly.
• 70% Trading Range: 0.337-0.562, current price 0.352 is at the lower edge of the range at the 16% percentile, technically oversold.
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Momentum and Positions
• 1h Bollinger Band lower band 0.348 has been reached, RSI 33, high probability of short-term bottoming.
• Contract OI 7 days -27.9%, long-short ratio rises to 1.84, dominated by short position reductions; if the price returns to around 0.358 and OI no longer declines, it can be seen as a long position recovery signal.
• Spot 24h net outflow -2.75M, selling pressure marginally slowing.
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Trading Strategies
| Plan | Entry | Stop Loss | Target | Risk-Reward Ratio | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggressive | 0.345-0.348 | 0.340 | 0.363 | 2.4 | Wait for 15m UpVol > 60% and a PinBar to form |
| Moderate | 0.352-0.355 | 0.348 | 0.363 | 1.9 | Abandon if the pullback at HVN 0.358 fails |
| Conservative | Wait and see | — | — | — | If it breaks below 0.340, then go short |
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Risk Warning
• Macro: If the market continues to break down, LA may follow down to LVN 0.32.
• Liquidity: Sell orders stacked at 20.9M on the order book, significant slippage possible, ensure limit orders.
• Invalidity: If the 15m closing price falls below 0.340 or UpVol < 40%, immediately stop loss.
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