Market Thoughts and Operations for BTC (2025.7.17)

A decline is an opportunity, a massive surge to 130k can be imagined!!!

123200 can be confirmed as a short-term top, and in the next half month (7.14-7.29), we expect a high-level fluctuation adjustment around 10,000 points, specifically 112000-123000. After the adjustment ends, another push towards 130k+

BTC market share is declining, while ETH/BTC exchange rate is rising.

Ethereum is surging strongly, which also drives altcoins to start the altcoin season!!!

Ethereum and altcoins also align with our expectations for continuous surges; I have repeatedly mentioned that Ethereum could surge to 3000-4000+ from 2400-2500.

Short Position Strategy

• Entry: 1120300-120900

• Targets: First target 118500, second target 116500

• Stop Loss: Above 121200

Short-term Long Position Strategy

• Entry: 115700-116300

• Targets: First target 117800, second target 119500

• Stop Loss: Below 115000

Risk Alerts and Precautions

· Position Management: Recent volatility has increased; it is recommended that a single trade position does not exceed 5% of total funds, reserving 30% cash to cope with extreme market conditions.

· Stop Loss Discipline: Strictly set stop losses to avoid holding losing positions.

· Take Profit Strategy: Gradually take profit at pressure/support levels, reducing positions by 50%, while leaving the remainder for a breakout.

Risk Warning: This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile; please make rational decisions. #比特币走势分析 $BTC