In the larger trend, at the end of last month, I judged that there would be an increase in July-August, a wave of correction from the end of August to September, and then a crazy sprint to the top in October. There will be sideways fluctuations until mid-November, and the second half of this bull market or the fourth segment of the weekly-level upward trend (74457-138800 or 142000) will end, with the first significant drop officially on December 4th. July-August has already been established, but the early to mid-August situation is still uncertain and depends on whether Japan raises interest rates on July 31st to determine the direction for August.

Historically, BTC has risen in nearly 10 years of July, which is a law. The biggest negative factor on July 31st is whether Japan will raise interest rates. If not, August will continue to rise. September is the third month of the third quarter, and there must be a correction. October is the first month of the fourth quarter, which historically is also the phase when the bull market peaks. After mid-November, the bull market cycle ends. Generally, the highest point in the last year of a bull market occurs between late October and mid-November. Don't wait until the end of November to try and escape the peak. By then, it will be too late.