Is Powell going to resign? Is a major monetary easing coming from the Fed?
On July 11, 2025, the storm at the Federal Reserve reignited.
William Pulte, Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, publicly stated: Powell is considering resigning.
Meanwhile, the Trump camp continues to pressure the Federal Reserve, raising deep concerns about the independence of monetary policy.
Does this mean - interest rate cuts + monetary easing are really on the way?
Many people have noticed that Powell has been the biggest representative of the hawkish stance at the Federal Reserve over the past year.
If he were to leave, the potential successors are largely representatives of the dovish camp:
Including National Economic Council Director Hassett, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, and former Federal Reserve Governor Warsh, all three of whom have advocated for loose monetary policy.
As a result, the internet is buzzing:
"Once Powell leaves, monetary easing will come, and a surge in the crypto market is not a dream!"
But is it really that simple?
I believe - this is more like a public relations act.
First, Powell has repeatedly stated publicly that he will not resign voluntarily:
At the 2024 FOMC meeting, he clearly stated that even if Trump asked him to leave, he would not resign.
The President of the United States does not have the authority to fire the Chairman of the Federal Reserve; the law protects its independence.
His term will last until May 2026, and the term for board members lasts until January 2028.
A likely scenario is as follows:
Mid-July: Release the "Powell is going to resign" positive news
Late July: Confirm he hasn't left, causing a short-term correction
End of July: Reignite the discussion of "upcoming interest rate cuts," and the market gets excited again
Early August: Waiting for the rate cut that doesn't come, the market is disappointed and sells off again.
A typical game of policy expectations, repeatedly tugging on emotions, creating volatility.
So, don't be easily scared by "Powell's resignation," and don't get too excited.
This grand play has just begun. The real core remains: your trading ability and adaptive logic.
A final note for those who understand:
Trading is not about becoming rich overnight,
But about establishing a long-term, stable, high-probability profit system.
Three years to enter the field, five years to understand it, ten years to reign supreme.
When confused, see the rhythm clearly; in volatility, manage risk well.
