The current market resembles the night before last year's '924 Crash'—MA7 (108697.97) and MA30 (108384.56) are intertwined like a noose, while the latest 4-hour K-line closes at 109075.42, just a step away from the breakout point. Combined with three deadly signals:
1. On-chain Alert: The German government transferred BTC to Coinbase this morning
2. Volume Shrinkage: The current trading volume of 1.02 million hands is far below the MA5 average volume line, exposing the weakness of bulls
3. Liquidation Heatmap: 8,200 contracts of buy orders accumulated at 107,500; a breakdown will lead to liquidation
One, Key Position Strategy
Bull-Bear Life and Death Gate
Coffin Lid: 109,000 breakout triggers a short squeeze
Floor Price: 107,500 breakdown triggers a bloodbath for bulls
Underworld Line: MA30 Daily Average Line 108384.56 is today’s ultimate defense
Case Record of Giving Up: Yesterday, a community member bottom-fished at 108697 (MA7), I immediately called to stop—bottom-fishing in a consolidation zone = catching a falling knife, and afterwards it indeed dropped to 108553
Two, Urgent Iteration of Liquidation Tactics
Bullish Escape Route: If a pullback to 108550 occurs with a volume of 1.5 million hands forming a pin bottom, you can add to your position to average down
If it breaks below 108380, you must cut positions! Remember the wave of holders who were wiped out in September 2023
Short Killing Moment
When 109200 breaks and volume reaches 1.5 million hands, immediately close your short and go long
110529 False Breakout Sniping: Enter the market when there is a pullback of 0.8% after a spike
Three, must adhere to three iron rules tonight
Order Hanging Trick: Place a buy order at 107480 and a sell order at 109350 before 20:25
Volume Identification: If the volume bar height during an uptrend is less than the MA5 average volume line, sell immediately!
News Nuclear Explosion: When PPI data is released, stay away from your phone for 30 seconds—avoid emotional trading!
When the K-line turns into a meat grinder, on-chain data is the bulletproof vest
1. Real-time monitoring of BTC transfers by the German government
2. Decoding the 107,500 liquidation map
3. Tracking the dark currents of BlackRock ETF funds
Let you see through the main force's cards, survive tonight while licking blood on the knife's edge!
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