#BTC #ETH The market is always changing, but the only constant is change itself. True wisdom lies not in predicting when the storm will come, but in steadying one's helm during the storm; not in chasing every wave, but in clearly understanding the coast one truly wishes to reach between the rise and fall of the tide. Although Bitcoin looked strong last night, it did not break below the key level of 107500 as expected, and instead stopped falling at this point, with the rebound appearing somewhat weak, overall showing a range-bound fluctuation pattern. Yesterday, Lao Hu's high strategy once again ended perfectly with a complete victory, Bitcoin gaining over 2800 points, and the index rising by 46 points. Of course, some people question that Lao Hu is a hindsight analyst, which I am too lazy to argue about since all my strategies have been publicly shared in advance across the internet.

Looking at the 4-hour chart, the resistance reaction after the price hit the upper band is clear, with a continuous downward rhythm of 4 bearish candles, coupled with the closing of a Doji candle. Although there are signs of a short-term stop in the decline, it resembles a brief respite in the momentum release process rather than a signal of trend reversal. A Doji in a weak structure often reflects a temporary balance of bullish and bearish forces, and the rebound momentum has yet to form an effective consensus. On the MACD indicator, the continuous divergence after the death cross above the zero axis, combined with the expansion of the momentum bars, clearly conveys that the momentum is currently in a strengthening phase. Under this indicator pattern, even if a local rebound occurs, it is unlikely to change the inertia of the short-term trend, and may instead become a process of further accumulation of momentum. Considering the price's characteristic of oscillation around the bottom, weak consolidation is often a buildup before a breakout; if an effective rebound fails to reclaim key support, the possibility of further downward exploration will significantly increase. Overall, the current technical logic still centers around momentum dominance, and the strategy remains focused on entering positions after a rebound at high levels.

Trading Suggestions

Bitcoin 108300—108800 target 107000

Index around 2550 short target first looks at 2450