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价值投资者-赚哥
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The time left for Bitcoin is running out, and it is expected that in the next few days or weeks, Bitcoin will reach a new high.
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价值投资者-赚哥
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不要跟山寨币谈恋爱,除了大饼都是山寨。 以太这轮逻辑已经变了,以太现在上涨和链上基本面没关系,是比特币溢出资本在炒以太,相当于比特币的杠杆。跟着市场资金走,币圈是金融最本质的玩法,效率、节奏拉满,抓住比特币回调节奏,吃强势山寨的反弹 散户赚大钱的机会越来越少,应该抛弃以前钻石手必然拿到结果的思想,基本面、消息面不是你能长期持有的逻辑。
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从心理层面分析,这个位置不太可能深度回撤,更多是主力吓唬场内现货,让他们在恐慌中割肉。真正敢在这些位置追多的散户其实少之又少。说实话,你自己扪心自问一下,这种位置你敢开多吗?我个人肯定是不敢的,即使它有机会继续上涨,这也不符合我自己的左侧交易风格。
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山寨主力为啥不拉盘?其实就是主力在等你精神崩溃,割肉离场。就是要你长期横盘、浮亏扩大、看不到希望,然后自己砍仓。这样他们才能以极低价格暗中建仓,等BTC/ETH涨得差不多了,再集中炒一波低价币,吸引散户高位接盘。延迟拉盘 → 洗干净筹码 → 收割下一轮人。
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web3的创新基本到头了。玩法就这么点,只能在这个基础上,发展一些新的代币发行形式,比如前年的铭文,但终究昙花一现。 要区分币圈和比特币圈的本质区别,币圈是一个想办法骗你的比特币换成其它东西的诈骗局。几十万种山寨币,跑赢大饼的只有十几个。下个周期估计只有几个了。主要的仓位用来hold大饼你才有可能赢。
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接下来是25年下半年牛市的起点,大饼应该会上15万美金。 但是,大饼的牛市,未必是山寨的牛市,不要像以前一样重仓山寨,有可能会踏空,应该建好大饼的底仓,剩下的机动资金用来追逐热点。 这是今年最后的机会了,明年是熊市。
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