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Scientific layout, welcoming the big bull market from 2023 to 2025
In the first half of the bull market, a 1 million dollar spot allocation reached 10 million in 2 months. Scientifically layout for the big bull market from 2023 to 2025, accurately bottoming out and escaping the peak. I hope every fan who follows along can make a fortune. The first half of this round of the bull market started in October 2023, and the second half will start in November 2024. In the first half of this round of the bull market, I predict that Bitcoin will soon start rising from 25,000 dollars. Since then, Bitcoin led the altcoins to rebound from 25,000 dollars, and those who followed basically made a fortune. In the second half of this round of the bull market, I predict that Bitcoin will start rising from November 5th. Bitcoin officially began to rebound from November 5th, heading towards the year-end target of 100,000 dollars predicted by me.
Don't fall in love with altcoins; everything other than Bitcoin is a knockoff.
The logic of Ethereum has changed this round; Ethereum's current rise has nothing to do with on-chain fundamentals. It is Bitcoin's overflow capital speculating on Ethereum, essentially acting as Bitcoin's leverage. Follow the market funds; the crypto world is the essence of finance, with efficiency and rhythm maximized. Catch the rhythm of Bitcoin's pullback and take advantage of the rebounds of strong altcoins.
Opportunities for retail investors to make big money are getting fewer and fewer. You should abandon the old belief that diamond hands will inevitably yield results. Fundamentals and news are not the logic for you to hold long-term.
From a psychological perspective, it is unlikely that this position will deeply retrace; it is more about the main forces scaring the on-site spot traders, making them panic and cut their losses. In fact, very few retail investors dare to chase long positions at these levels. To be honest, ask yourself, would you dare to go long at such a position? Personally, I definitely wouldn't, even if it has the chance to continue rising, as it does not align with my own left-side trading style.
Why don't the main forces in the shanzhai (copycat) market pump? It's actually because the main forces are waiting for you to mentally break down and cut your losses. They want you to be in a prolonged sideways market, with your floating losses increasing, seeing no hope, and then you end up cutting your positions. This way, they can secretly accumulate at a very low price, and when BTC/ETH has risen enough, they can concentrate on trading low-price coins to attract retail investors to buy at high prices. Delay the pump → Clean up the chips → Harvest the next round of people.
The innovation of web3 has basically reached its limit. There are only so many ways to play, and we can only develop some new forms of token issuance based on this foundation, like the inscriptions from two years ago, but ultimately they were just a flash in the pan.
It is important to differentiate the essential difference between the cryptocurrency world and the Bitcoin world. The cryptocurrency world is a scam trying to trick you into exchanging your Bitcoin for other things. Out of hundreds of thousands of altcoins, only a few have outperformed Bitcoin. In the next cycle, there will probably be only a few left. The main positions should be used to hold Bitcoin if you want to have a chance to win.
Next is the starting point of the bull market in the second half of the next 25 years, Bitcoin should rise to 150,000 USD.
However, the bull market of Bitcoin may not be the same for altcoins. Don't heavily invest in altcoins like before, as you might miss out. You should build a solid foundation in Bitcoin, and use the remaining flexible funds to chase hot trends.
This is the last opportunity of this year, next year will be a bear market.
The biggest regret of former BTC holders is not being able to hold on. Later, they watched as BTC prices soared, and they could no longer chase after it. Wealth is only left for those steadfast holders.
Those who can hold on are a very small number of people, and naturally, only a very few earn money. This is the biggest pain for most early BTC players.
Of course, the past is in the past; what matters is now. If you hold 0.5 BTC now, would you sell to cash out at the high point of $100,000, or would you continue to hold and see what happens in 5 years?
Perhaps among those who hold now, only a few will continue to hold on. People can only earn money within the limits of their understanding.
If we really wait until September to cut interest rates, the willingness of retail investors to bottom-fish will significantly increase after expectations are fulfilled. At that time, if you want to shake out, the cost will be higher and the time will be longer. So if you really want to shake out, the best time is July, and you can't delay any longer. Looking back, if we assume that 2026 is a major bear market, then the time left for the main players is actually not much. If they still want to offload, clear floating stocks, and change hands, it all has to be completed in advance. Otherwise, if they crash the market after pulling up in September, retail investors will have already reacted, and the effect of shaking out will be lost.
There will be a bull market in the altcoin world, but it won't be the same general rise as before. The reason is simple: there are too many cryptocurrencies now. Just look at how many new coins are listed on exchanges every day. The capital pool is limited, so it will either be diluted by a general rise or funds will seek out quality assets to concentrate on. I prefer the latter. It's similar to the U.S. stock market, where there are nearly ten thousand stocks, but only a few are in a long bull run, while the vast majority are continuously declining. Therefore, finding good assets may be even more important.
1. Cryptocurrencies through ETFs, such as SOL, LTC, ADA, SUI, etc.
2. Meme coins
There won't be anything else. In the last two bull markets, project tokens have already exhausted their credibility. There are hardly any real applications, it's all just big talk.
At the beginning of 2023, when Bitcoin was rising, various people were shouting that the bull market was coming. Now it is the end of June 2025. Apart from Bitcoin, how many retail investors have been wiped out by other altcoins? Just look at the actions of those exchanges; anyone in mainland China would basically be serving life sentences for serious crimes. This circle only benefits various exchanges and project teams, but it will definitely not benefit retail investors.
xrp, ada, and sol can all rise, with market values approaching eth, but their daily trading volume is less than one-fifth of eth, while eth's daily trading volume is 50%-70% of bitcoin's. This is completely inconsistent with their market values. From this perspective, when even the dogs on the street know that eth is doomed, the cost-performance ratio of eth has already become very high. If eth completely fails and is replaced by xrp and similar coins in the second position, then there will be no technology left, and the entire crypto world will turn into a meme coin casino, leading to sol and other chains ultimately going to zero in the long run. One day, eth may be replaced, but it will definitely not be by the sol chain or centralized pseudo-tokens like xrp. In the long run, I still have confidence in eth.
Now, there are very few stories about getting rich quickly from altcoins; basically, they are all schemes to profit at the expense of retail investors. The issuers list their coins on exchanges just to cash out and run away, with no intention of managing a coin in the long term.
Look at the 10 new altcoins listed recently; 9 of them have fallen below their issue price. Only one might skyrocket, and that surge is not meant to benefit retail investors but rather to harvest those who are shorting.
The greatest value in this market is that there are enough retail investors participating. You want to earn the money of the market makers, while they want to earn your money; essentially, it's all a game of chance. However, your probability of losing is 90%.
When you notice that the people around you, the influencers in the group, and the bloggers on social media are all recommending a particular coin, you need to be cautious. Because at this point, the chips have already been dispersed, there are too many retail investors, and once the sentiment shifts, it can lead to a collapse of emotions, leaving you no time to escape.
It's like when there are too many people in a car; if there are only a few, it's usually fine, but once hundreds or thousands of people are all in it, the main force has to consider the burden and costs. They cannot take a group of retail investors clinging to the roof of the car up the mountain; they will inevitably have to drop off a batch of people first.
Playing with contracts is not a matter of life and death; it's a matter of multiple deaths. Contracts can be played, but the risks are extremely high, like walking a tightrope on the edge of a blade. If you can't control yourself, you risk losing 100% of your principal. Invest 10% to open a 10x contract, and put the rest into spot trading or wealth management, only dealing with Bitcoin. Contracts are a double-edged sword; it all depends on how you use them.
Making money in the cryptocurrency market means not having your own emotions. During a bear market, you should dollar-cost average into the best assets; this is the simplest strategy. Don't keep changing your approach, and don't worry about how much others are making compared to you; these are all emotional distractions. Please completely eliminate your personal emotions and just buy consistently day after day. However, many people suddenly change their dollar-cost averaging amount, suddenly change the assets they are investing in, or suddenly change the timing of their investments. Little do they know, countless tricks are derived from emotionally driven mistakes.
The market value of the shanzhai is soaring, how to pull it up? One by one, the cunning retail investors are building positions at low levels, just waiting for the big players to drive the market. Is it that the big players have too much money and nowhere to go? Unless we see a situation like in 2021 with the Federal Reserve's massive liquidity injection, there might still be a chance. It’s better to play with meme coins or low-cap coins; they have low market value, investing a few thousand or ten thousand, you won’t get a big profit, but at least you can sip some soup. Even if you get cut, it doesn’t matter, as long as you hit one, that’s enough. Don’t talk about value investing; retail investors enter the crypto space to gamble and steal.
What the major players want to achieve is not a one-time surge or plunge, but to squeeze out liquidity. Through repeated fluctuations within a range, they gradually wear down the confidence of retail investors amidst emotional torment. This is their favorite tactic.
Now, the variables in the market game have increased. It used to be a showdown between major players and retail investors, but now it's the major players engaging in a game against various types of retail groups: those who are trying to break even, those who are increasing their positions, those who are all-in, and those who are waiting on the sidelines. Each type of person has a different psychology. Therefore, this market will become much more complex.