#比特币 Hoarding: A Cognitive Competition Unrelated to Time
【Breaking Time Anxiety】
When people ask "Is it too late to enter now?" they often fall into three cognitive misconceptions:
1) Viewing Bitcoin as a simple price game, rather than a process of establishing a global value storage system
2) Mistaking "holding time" for "guaranteed returns", neglecting the difficulty of sustained holding
3) Underestimating the relative value changes brought about by the continuous depreciation of fiat currency
【The Real Ticket to Entry】
In this game, an effective entry ticket is:
√ Fully understanding Bitcoin's characteristic of non-inflationary issuance
√ Having the capability to manage private keys (true asset control)
√ Establishing a psychological immune system against market volatility
× Choosing the entry point in time
【The Gold Rush of Digital Gold】
Current real holding situation reveals huge potential:
About 0.01% of the global population holds complete Bitcoin
Exchange inventory continues to decline (15% of circulation in 2020, down to 12% in 2023)
Approximately 320,000 new Bitcoins are mined each year (annual demand from institutional investors has exceeded this number multiple times)
【Survivor Game Rules】
The secret to successful hoarding lies in:
1) Technical survivability: Mastering private key management as a "digital survival skill"
2) Economic endurance: Investing spare money, ensuring the ability to cross multiple bull and bear cycles
3) Cognitive immunity: Understanding that Bitcoin's ultimate goal is to become a global settlement layer, not a short-term speculative tool
【Future Tense Thinking】
Looking back at the present from the perspective of 2050:
When 1% of the 8 billion people globally need to allocate Bitcoin as an anti-inflation asset
When central banks of various countries include Bitcoin in their reserve assets
When Bitcoin completes the cognitive shift from "high-risk asset" to "value storage infrastructure"
Any price today is a historical low point
