$BTC 🔮 . Price and Risk Forecasts

- Bullish forecasts:

- $130,000–$140,000 by the end of July 2025, supported by supply/demand imbalance (ETF funds buying more than is produced daily).

- $200,000 by the end of 2025 according to Standard Chartered and Bernstein forecasts.

- Bearish warnings:

- Some analysts (like Rekt Capital) warn of the end of the bull market within 2-3 months if the 2020 cycle pattern repeats, with a peak expected in October 2025.

- Risks of network breaches and geopolitical volatility could push Bitcoin to **$90,000–$100,000.

- Key challenges

- Scarcity vs. slowdown: Limited supply (21 million pieces) supports the price, but a slowdown in institutional adoption in some areas may limit growth.

- Criticism from leading economists:

- Warnings against considering Bitcoin as the "currency of the future," pointing out that it is closer to gambling due to its value being reliant on speculation.

- Gold 'remains preferred as a more stable safe haven' {}

Summary: The year 2025 will witness Bitcoin's transition to a **mature financial asset** thanks to institutional adoption and regulatory developments, but it retains its characteristic volatility. While fundamental factors (scarcity, inflation, innovation) support a long-term bullish trajectory, short-term risks remain, especially with the potential for market cycle changes and legislation. Investors are advised to monitor:

1. ETF fund flows,

2. Central bank policies,

$BTC