Having been in the crypto market for almost 10 years, I have earned and lost during this time. I have engaged in ICOs, shitcoins, mining, etc., and experienced three rounds of bull markets. After summarizing countless operations, I found that the only method to make stable profits is a simple and straightforward one that anyone can understand:
Buy in a bear market, sell in a bull market, guaranteed profits.
A bull market lasts for 6 months to 1 year, and a bear market generally lasts for 1 to 2 years. A full cycle of bull and bear markets lasts 3 to 4 years. Seize the opportunity to earn at least 50%+ profit in each bull market, which is enough to outperform various financial products, stocks, and funds. This 50%+ profit is certain to be earned, with no doubt.
Disclaimer:
The following methods are only suitable for speculators like me with limited funds (within 100,000 to 300,000), little technical knowledge (for example, not seeking in-depth understanding of cryptocurrency technology), and no channels or insider information. If you understand some new technologies very well and select coins accurately, please trust your judgment. If you have channels or insider information, please take me with you.
1. Only layout in a bear market
You must have patience; try to layout at the bottom of the bear market (although it's impossible to buy at the true bottom of the bear market). A simple way to determine the bottom of the bear market is when no one is paying attention to Bitcoin, and the market feels lifeless. You can intermittently buy during this period, which may last for a year or even longer.
2. Only buy mainstream coins
BTC and ETH will always be the kings of the crypto world; buying in a bear market is definitely not wrong. Although they may not multiply, buying during a bear market and holding until the bull market sells, a profit of over 50% is guaranteed. They are the first choice for large funds.
Exchange platform coins: such as BNB
Relatively strong foundational chains: such as SOL, AVAX
Good infrastructure coins: such as MATIC
Strong consensus coins: Dogecoin, SHIB (I do not recommend strong consensus coins because their utility is not significant; the consensus is entirely based on the number of people buying).
Investments should always be in mainstream coins; never heavily invest in altcoins. The logic of altcoins is to exploit retail investors, and many types of altcoins will emerge in every bull market. The altcoins that perform well in this bull market may become completely quiet in the next round of the bull market, overshadowed by the spotlight of new altcoins. Without insider channels and information, it is nearly impossible to bet on an altcoin before it explodes. Generally, people only realize there is such an altcoin after seeing it soar, and by then, it is already too late to follow. Perhaps following it will yield a lucky wave of increase, but there is a high probability of a downward fluctuation. Altcoins are too volatile; most people cannot hold on to them regardless of increases or decreases. It is often the case of making small profits and suffering significant losses. In the end, it all adds up to a loss.
3. Sell in the mid-bull market, then do not operate anymore
In the early bull market, BTC will gradually rise, standing out, driving ETH up. At this time, some good mainstream coins will follow, while other coins will rise slowly, and only a few altcoins will skyrocket, with most altcoins remaining quiet.
During the mid-bull market, BTC and ETH fluctuate upwards, mainstream coins begin to rise, and altcoins start to get activated.
In the late bull market, BTC fluctuates downwards, ETH may continue to rise, mainstream coins surge successively, and the next round of bull market altcoins may soar by several times or even dozens or hundreds of times.
Towards the end of the bull market, BTC may drop several thousand points or even over ten thousand points, then slightly recover. The initial sharp drop recovers quickly, giving a false impression of adjustment. After two or three such drops, the bull market is declared over. At this point, if you are trapped, please do not hold on to fantasies; cut losses in time, or your principal will be dragged into an abyss.
3. Do not gamble in a bull market
There are many opportunities in a bull market, especially in the latter part of the bull market when altcoins are flying around, and many altcoins soar several times, making people envious. The urge to chase or to make impulsive choices on some promising but yet-to-explode altcoins should be avoided. This mindset is best not to have; it is purely gambling, akin to betting, and has nothing to do with investing.
Every bull market will give rise to many altcoins that exploit retail investors; these altcoins often have a lot of hype and seem powerful, with rapid growth. Please resist the temptation; only after the tide recedes do we know who is swimming naked. When BTC crashes and the bear market arrives, these altcoins often get cut in half or even close to zero.
If you really cannot resist the temptation, only use a very small amount of funds to play around. Even if you make a small profit, do not impulsively go all in. Do not, do not, do not. This is gambling, and luck cannot always be on your side. It doesn't matter if you win a hundred times; what matters is if you lose just once, and that could wipe out all your capital. Don't fantasize about going all in on an altcoin and becoming rich; that is as unlikely as winning the lottery. Playing with small funds for entertainment is fine, but considering it as an investment is a huge mistake.
4. More patience, less impulsiveness
After buying in a bear market, you need to patiently wait to sell in a bull market. Do not operate during the fluctuations in between, and the waiting period requires patience.
After selling in a bull market, patiently wait for the bull market to collapse into a bear market. This may take one or two years. Do not impulsively buy at the mid or foot of the hill; wait patiently for the moment it falls to the bottom.
After selling for profit in a bull market, do not give in to the temptation to play with altcoins impulsively. If you really want to gamble, only use a maximum of 10% of your capital.
5. Principal is always the most important.
If you accidentally get stuck due to improper operations, preserving your principal as much as possible is the most important thing. When the cryptocurrency market crashes, being willing to cut losses timely can help preserve most of your principal and maintain the basic foundation, giving hope for a comeback. Patiently wait for the market to fall into the abyss, and then use the remaining principal to buy at the bottom. Don't get trapped and sink with the market; often, if you sell coins that are trapped before the market crashes, you may lose at most 50% of your principal. If you ignore the situation and let it fall, holding on to the end, when this coin falls to the bottom with the market, the remaining principal will have almost no chance of recovering.
Continue to pay attention:$BTC $ETH
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