2025.7.4 Same day and weekend short-term strategy direction reference

Ethereum

Resistance level: 2610-2620- (2650-60 spike)

Support level: 2530-2480-2450-2420 (If breaking 2450-2367 effectively, look at 2230 and below)

Bitcoin

Resistance level: 109800-110000- (112000-3000 spike)

Support level: 1075000-106300-105100- (If breaking 105000, look at 100000 and below)

Today, the US stock market is closed. Currently, it has been fluctuating sideways with small movements, occasionally spiking. Both going long and short are risky; it's only suitable to chase upward spikes for short positions with small stop losses. A strong short position requires a significant spike signal.

Why only short and not long? After the data was released last night, it has been confirmed that there will be no interest rate cut in July, and the expectation for a rate cut in September has weakened. The current position is at a historical high; unless the long position has a small stop loss, holding it may result in several months of risk.

In the next few days, consider when to enter a significant spike for long or short positions. For example, if Bitcoin spikes to 112000 and quickly retracts, falling back to 107500-106300-105100 support levels and rebounds without breaking 110000, then if it breaks the previous low, it basically confirms a bearish-led distribution market. There should be opportunities to bottom-fish around August-September.

This is a recent thought direction reference; it is recommended to watch more and act less for safety in shorts. Be careful not to miss the big opportunity that is coming, and gradually position yourself.

When making trades, set stop losses: for Ethereum: 10-25 units, for Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profit near resistance and support levels dynamically.

Be sure to manage your position sizes: large funds should use 10% position size with up to 20x leverage, small funds should use 2% position size with 100x leverage;

The above is for learning and communication reference only. #btc #eth #比特币