2025.7.3 Same-day short-term strategy direction reference

Ethereum

Resistance level: 2610-2620- ( beware of favorable spikes to 2710 tonight)

Support level: 2515-2470-2450- (if the main direction breaks 2367, look for 2230 and below)

Bitcoin

Resistance level: 109000-109700- (beware of 110k+)

Support level: 1072000-106500-105100- (if the main direction breaks 105000, look for 100k)

After last night's unexpectedly aggressive sell-off, today’s high-level fluctuations suggest entering short positions with a divergence signal of 15 minutes or more. As Bitcoin approaches historical highs, it is not suitable to go long. There will still be upward spikes until tonight, so test short positions with small stop losses; large stop losses or holding positions are not cost-effective.

Non-farm payroll data will be released tonight at 20:30, and the US stock market will only be open for half a day, closing at 1 AM.

Regular short-selling suggestions for Thursday.

Recently, whether the direction is a true breakthrough or a false breakthrough remains to be observed. The probability of a rate cut in July is still very low, so I personally do not expect a significant breakthrough (at most a large spike to kill shorts). The recent direction will likely continue to move in a four-hour large range or drop.

For setting stop losses, suggest Ethereum: 10-25 units, Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; for taking profits, dynamically take profits near resistance and support levels.

Be sure to control position management. For large funds, use 20x leverage with a 10% position; for small funds, 100x leverage with a 2% position;

The above is for learning and communication reference only. #btc #eth #比特币