(based on CoinMarketCap data and RSI analyses for the top 20 coins)
🧠 Overall market indicators
Fear and Greed Index: 54 – neutral zone, but closer to 'greed'.
Total market capitalization: $3.4 trillion (+ increase over the day)
Daily trading volume: $139.42 billion (high, bullish signal)
Altseason index: 26/100 — Bitcoin season continues, BTC dominance is rising.
CoinMarketCap Index 100: $209.83 (+3.12%) — positive dynamics for major assets.
Net inflow of cryptocurrencies: + $405.9 million — strong institutional and retail entry into the market.
BTC dominance: 64.4% (increase)
Open interest: $811.21B perpetual / $2.99B futures — accumulation continues.
Implied volatility (BTC/ETH): BTC: 41.66 / ETH: 68.83 — the market expects strong volatility for ETH.
📈 Analysis based on RSI (overbought/oversold)
1. BTC ($110318.41)
RSI 1h: 65.92 / RSI 4h: 67.56 / RSI 12h: 65.76 / RSI 24h: 61.57
📌 BTC is overbought on all TFs. A pullback is possible.
2. ETH ($2633.61)
RSI 1h: 71.75 / RSI 4h: 70.91 / RSI 12h: 63.98 / RSI 24h: 59.11
📌 ETH in the extreme overbought zone (1h and 4h). High probability of a correction.
3. XRP ($2.298)
RSI 1h: 67.05 / RSI 4h: 66.43 / RSI 12h: 62.9 / RSI 24h: 57.97
📌 XRP is close to overheating — be cautious in the short term.
4. BNB ($663.65)
RSI 1h: 61.31 / RSI 4h: 64.16 / RSI 12h: 62.97 / RSI 24h: 57.68
📌 Heated, profit-taking may occur in the short term.
5. SOL ($154.37)
RSI 1h: 55.89 / RSI 4h: 58.83 / RSI 12h: 58.18 / RSI 24h: 53.95
✅ Neutral RSI — room for growth.
6. USDC ($0.9995)
RSI is balanced — the asset is stable, not used for speculation.
7. TRX ($0.285)
RSI 1h: 62.29 / RSI 4h: 75.77 / RSI 12h: 66.82 / RSI 24h: 62.01
⚠️ TRX is in strong overbought territory. A correction is possible.
8. DOGE ($0.17446)
RSI 1h: 64.28 / RSI 4h: 67.53 / RSI 12h: 60.15 / RSI 24h: 51.39
📌 DOGE is overbought but remains active.
9. ADA ($0.606)
RSI 1h: 65.56 / RSI 4h: 64.47 / RSI 12h: 58.51 / RSI 24h: 49.87
⚠️ ADA is close to overheating.
10. SUI ($3.0449)
RSI 1h: 69.13 / RSI 4h: 69.23 / RSI 12h: 66.24 / RSI 24h: 53.05
📌 SUI is in acute overbought territory. Potential for a reversal.
11. WBTC ($110282.55)
RSI 1h: 66.07 / RSI 4h: 68.01 / RSI 12h: 66.2 / RSI 24h: 61.71
📌 Like BTC — strong bullish impulse, but the market is overheated.
12. BCH ($503.7)
RSI 1h: 46.9 / RSI 4h: 49.45 / RSI 12h: 56.3 / RSI 24h: 61.45
✅ Neutral levels. Potential for growth.
13. LINK ($13.97)
RSI 1h: 69.27 / RSI 4h: 63.9 / RSI 12h: 60.71 / RSI 24h: 54.43
📌 LINK is close to overheating — be cautious.
14. AVAX ($18.95)
RSI 1h: 63.39 / RSI 4h: 64.19 / RSI 12h: 58.34 / RSI 24h: 50.89
✅ Moderate overbought — the trend is upward.
15. XLM ($0.2464)
RSI 1h: 72.57 / RSI 4h: 63.7 / RSI 12h: 54.98 / RSI 24h: 48.52
⚠️ XLM in the extreme zone (1h). A correction is possible.
16. TON ($2.897)
RSI 1h: 57.15 / RSI 4h: 57.41 / RSI 12h: 51.16 / RSI 24h: 46.81
✅ Neutral background — there is room for growth.
17. SHIB ($0.000012)
RSI 1h: 59.1 / RSI 4h: 63.63 / RSI 12h: 58.82 / RSI 24h: 50.3
📌 SHIB is on the edge — entry with a short stop.
18. LTC ($91.29)
RSI 1h: 73.24 / RSI 4h: 71.47 / RSI 12h: 65.52 / RSI 24h: 58.84
⚠️ LTC is overheated — a pullback is possible.
19. HBAR ($0.16177)
RSI 1h: 72.06 / RSI 4h: 66.22 / RSI 12h: 63.67 / RSI 24h: 51.9
⚠️ HBAR in the risk zone, overbought.
20. DOT ($3.609)
RSI 1h: 61.62 / RSI 4h: 64.28 / RSI 12h: 60.25 / RSI 24h: 49.23
📌 Moderate overbought. Still no overheating.
✅ Conclusions
The market is overheated by RSI across most of the top 20 coins.
BTC and ETH remain leaders in growth but are close to the correction zone.
Altcoins show a surge in interest, especially #DOGE , #ADA , #SUI , #LINK — but are also overheated.
Capital inflow +$405M and rising open interest signal support for the bullish trend.
BTC dominance remains high (64.4%) — the trend continues.
💡 Tactical strategy:
Partially take profits on overheated RSIs (LTC, ETH, XRP).
For new entries, wait for a correction or monitor consolidation zones (TON, BCH).
Use short stops against expected volatility.
