Midnight bombshell! One sentence from Powell, and the global market holds its breath!
Just now at the European Economic Forum, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell faced the key question of 'Will there be a rate cut in July?' and surprisingly said: 'I can't say if it's too early!' More explosively, he directly stated - 'We do not rule out the possibility of action at any meeting' (original quote: 'We will not preclude any meeting possibilities'). This is equivalent to throwing a 'smoke bomb' into the global financial market, and the suspense in the crypto space for July has sharply increased!
Good news vs. bad news, how will the crypto world respond?
Powell's core logic is very clear:
The door to rate cuts is not closed: As long as economic data cannot hold up, the Federal Reserve may act to rescue the market at any time! This is a potential super positive for the crypto market - once rates are cut, the dollar weakens, and assets like Bitcoin will become 'money magnets'!
Inflation remains a concern: Old Powell admits that tariffs may push up U.S. prices (original quote: 'causing inflation to rise slightly'). If inflation rebounds, rate cuts will have to be delayed, which may suppress coin prices in the short term.
'Waiting' will determine the outcome: The Federal Reserve's next step depends entirely on economic data! Employment, CPI, GDP... these indicators will become the powder keg that ignites the crypto market!
Operational Strategy: Don't bet on direction, be prepared for both outcomes!
Keep a close eye on the data calendar: This week's non-farm employment (July 5) and mid-month CPI data release day, be sure to set your alarm! Data below expectations = increased rate cut expectations = favorable for BTC!
Mainstream coins are more resilient: During the policy fluctuation period, large market cap coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum are more favored by large funds, while altcoins should be cautious about chasing highs!
Position for regular investments in gold: If a correction occurs due to 'delayed rate cut' expectations, Bitcoin in the 30k range and Ethereum at $2500 could be good opportunities to build a position in batches!
Anna's spicy commentary: Powell's move of 'hawk-dove duality' is all about the heartbeat! But remember - the more hesitant the Federal Reserve is, the closer we are to a policy shift! The tide of liquidity will eventually flood in, and crypto assets will be the first 'Noah's Ark' to be affected. What we need to do now can be summed up in four words: stock up on bullets and wait for the wind!#美国加征关税
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